Match Info

Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio El Fortin (Bahía Blanca) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	16:00	LPF Play


	Villa Mitre		Douglas Haig

	1	X	2
	1.93	2.70	4.33
	1.67	3.05	5.00	Watch
	1.97	2.73	4.27
	1.84	2.93	4.97	Watch
	1.93	2.70	4.20
	1.92	2.70	4.61
	1.85	2.85	4.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.41)	2.81 ↓ (3.7)	4.5 ↓ (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Mitre
48%

Draw
32%

Douglas Haig
20%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.9%

24%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

22.4%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villa Mitre's form might have worsened.

Douglas Haig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Douglas Haig's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (+17.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villa Mitre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Douglas Haig than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Douglas Haig, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Villa Mitre - Douglas Haig Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Douglas Haig (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mazza J. P. (G) 2. Almada J. 6. Bacigalupe S. 8. Battigelli A. 5. Cavagnero N. 4. Escobar M. 9. Ibarra T. 7. Monti L. 10. Paez M. 3. Pinto M. 11. Tunessi M.	1. Ratalin G. (G) 6. Canela N. 10. Castellano J. 11. Gimenez M. 2. Lopez L. 4. Magnago B. 3. Mauri M. 5. Meza B. 8. Ojeda L. 9. Palacio J. 7. Schlotthauer M.
Substitutes
15. Aguirre M. 12. Alcaraz M. (G) 14. Avit D. 17. Ayala V. 18. Cordoba G. G. 20. Gomez S. 13. Olguin U. 19. Tarasco R. 16. Valencia C.	18. Arriola C. 15. Caballo M. 19. Fiorito S. 12. Perrone F. (G) 14. Pezzi A. 20. Rosciano L. 16. Seratto R. 13. Sotelo O. 17. Tus E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', (Penalty Awarded),
42', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 🟨,
74', 1 - 0, Bacigalupe S. (Penalty Awarded),
79', 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Torneo Federal Promotion - Playoffs and 5th in the Promotion - Torneo Federal Promotion - Playoffs).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

In this match, Villa Mitre enters as the overwhelming favorite.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Villa Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
18.10.26	Villa Mitre - Costa Brava	2:0 ✺
11.10.26	Costa Brava - Villa Mitre	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Villa Mitre - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Argentino Monte Maíz - Villa Mitre	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Villa Mitre - Huracán Las Heras	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTTLW
- CA Douglas Haig
Argentinian Torneo Federal
18.10.26	Douglas Haig - El Linqueño	1:0 ✺
11.10.26	El Linqueño - Douglas Haig	0:0 ✺
20.09.26	Douglas Haig - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Sportivo Belgrano - Douglas Haig	0:4 ✺
30.08.26	Douglas Haig - Sol de América de Formosa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTTWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Villa Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
31.10.26	Douglas Haig - Villa Mitre	✺
- CA Douglas Haig
Argentinian Torneo Federal
31.10.26	Douglas Haig - Villa Mitre	✺

Villa Mitre - Douglas Haig