Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 3

Date: 12 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)


	Alvarado		Huracán Las Heras

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.30	6.25
	1.50	3.50	6.10
	1.54	3.41	6.37
	1.58	3.43	6.90	Watch
	1.52	3.20	6.30
	1.58	3.52	6.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.5)	3.39 ↓ (3.5)	6.4 ↑ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvarado
59%

Draw
26.8%

Huracán Las Heras
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

25.6%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

25.2%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Huracán Las Heras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huracán Las Heras than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Alvarado - Huracán Las Heras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bilbao E. (G) 11. Castellano A. 2. Centurion F. 4. Chiozza L. 5. Federico T. 6. Fernandez T. 3. Gorgerino C. 10. Gutierrez S. 7. Makarte R. 8. Mansilla M. 9. Sosa G.	1. Aguero F. (G) 4. Algozino L. 6. Arciero R. 10. Bogado E. 9. Bonet J. 2. Coceres G. 7. Cortes F. 3. Montenegro E. 11. Romero F. 5. Sandoval N. 8. Ubeda S.
Substitutes
13. Berra T. 15. Hofstetter P. J. 20. Melean A. 18. Miori M. 14. Nunez L. 16. Perez M. 19. Pinoni F. 17. Speck N. 12. Zapata A. (G)	13. Alessandrini A. 14. Alvacete J. 15. Dieli M. 18. Gonzalez I. 17. Leiva E. 12. Pacheco R. (G) 19. Rodriguez M. 16. Sosa M. 20. Toledo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', 🟨,
32', Arciero R. 🟨,
41', Gutierrez S. ↓, Pinoni F. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Algozino L. 🟨,
60', Ubeda S. 🟨,
63', 1 - 0, Sosa G. (Penalty Awarded),
63', Romero F. ↓, Gonzalez I. ↑,
64', Cortes F. ↓, Toledo A. ↑,
71', Toledo A. 🟥,

Preview

Alvarado is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Huracán Las Heras has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Huracán Las Heras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Alvarado is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Torneo Federal
07.08.26	Juventud Antoniana - Alvarado	0:2 ✺
11.07.26	Santamarina de Tandil - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
05.07.26	Alvarado - Germinal	5:0 ✺
28.06.26	Villa Mitre - Alvarado	1:0 ✺
20.06.26	Alvarado - Círculo Deportivo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTWLW
- Huracán Las Heras
Argentinian Torneo Federal
08.08.26	Huracán Las Heras - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:1 ✺
02.08.26	Cipolletti - Huracán Las Heras	1:0 ✺
26.07.26	Huracán Las Heras - FADEP	0:0 ✺
12.07.26	Deportivo Rincón - Huracán Las Heras	0:1 ✺
04.07.26	Huracán Las Heras - Costa Brava	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLTWW

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