Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 19

Date: 15 January 2023, Sunday


	Villa Valle		Seregno

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.3	3.9
	1.72	3.35	4.3
	1.72	3.35	4.28
	1.91	3.4	3.4
	1.72	3.5	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.95)	3.38 ↑ (3.19)	4.04 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Valle
51%

Draw
26.7%

Seregno
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

28%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

25.2%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villa Valle's performance.

Seregno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Valle than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villa Valle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seregno than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Seregno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Villa Valle - Seregno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Villa Valle won 0.

Recent matches Villa Valle is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Seregno is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Villa Valle is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Villa Valle won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Villa Valle won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Villa Valle
Italian Serie D - Group B
08.01.23	Varesina - Villa Valle	3:1 ✺
21.12.22	Alcione - Villa Valle	1:1 ✺
17.12.22	Villa Valle - Casatese	1:1 ✺
11.12.22	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Villa Valle	1:1 ✺
04.12.22	Villa Valle - Lumezzane	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LTTTT
- Seregno Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
09.01.23	Seregno - Arconatese	0:2 ✺
21.12.22	Seregno - Desenzano Calvina	1:3 ✺
18.12.22	Breno - Seregno	1:2 ✺
10.12.22	Seregno - Real Calepina	2:3 ✺
04.12.22	Sona - Seregno	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
11.09.22	Seregno - Villa Valle	5:1
16.05.21	Villa Valle - Seregno	0:1
30.01.21	Seregno - Villa Valle	2:1
05.01.20	Villa Valle - Seregno	2:2
01.09.19	Seregno - Villa Valle	3:0
18.11.18	Villa Valle - Seregno	1:1

Villa Valle - Seregno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide