Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 26Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday
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Villafranca |
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Jaraíz |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.2 |
3.2 |
2.88 |
|
 |
2.49 |
3.37 |
2.59 |
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 |
2.48 |
3.41 |
2.57 |
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 |
2.45 |
3.1 |
2.5 |
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 |
2.43 |
3.28 |
2.52 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↓
(2.68) |
3.27 ↑
(3.25) |
2.61 ↑
(2.5) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Villafranca
37.6% | Draw
27.7% | Jaraíz
34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villafranca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Jaraíz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villafranca than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaraíz than the current prediction. (+2.6%)Villafranca - Jaraíz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Minon J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).Recent form of Villafranca has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Jaraíz's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villafranca won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 2:2.2).Including home matches between the teams, Villafranca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 13 | Jaraiz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
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| 15 | Villafranca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 | | | 02.11.25 | Jaraíz - Villafranca | 4:1 | | 04.05.25 | Villafranca - Jaraíz | 1:2 | | 22.12.24 | Jaraíz - Villafranca | 4:1 | | 21.01.24 | Jaraíz - Villafranca | 1:2 | | 10.09.23 | Villafranca - Jaraíz | 5:0 |
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