Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 21

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday


	Llerenense		Navalcarnero

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	2.9
	2.3	2.85	2.95
	2.3	3	3.25	Watch
	2.18	2.84	2.94
	2.28	3.06	3.26
	2.36	3.15	3.05
	2.3	2.95	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.02)	2.98 ↑ (2.88)	3.06 ↓ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llerenense
39.8%

Draw
30.5%

Navalcarnero
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

31.3%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

30.8%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llerenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Navalcarnero's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Llerenense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Navalcarnero, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Llerenense - Navalcarnero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Llerenense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Llerenense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.01.24	Numancia - Llerenense	2:0 ✺
20.01.24	Llerenense - Illescas	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	Atlético Paso - Llerenense	1:0 ✺
07.01.24	Llerenense - Badajoz	2:1 ✺
17.12.23	Montijo - Llerenense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLWW
- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.01.24	Navalcarnero - Montijo	4:2 ✺
21.01.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Navalcarnero - Cacereño	0:2 ✺
07.01.24	Navalcarnero - Talavera de la Reina	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Ursaria - Navalcarnero	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.09.23	Navalcarnero - Llerenense	1:0

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