Match Info

LaLiga - Round 5

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	ESPN 3
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Chile	ESPN 3
China	Migu
Colombia	ESPN 3
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Disney+
Ecuador	ESPN 3
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic
Finland	Disney+
France	DAZN France, Disney+
Georgia	Silk Universal
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
Hungary	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Disney+
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 3
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 3
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 1
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 3, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV Online, VTVcab


	Villarreal		Betis

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.9	3.5	Watch
	1.90	4.00	3.50
	1.98	3.85	3.45	Watch
	2.03	4	3.57
	1.95	4.07	3.45	Watch
	1.99	3.95	3.5
	2.02	4.04	3.66	Watch
	2.01	3.95	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.94)	3.97 ↑ (3.77)	3.51 ↓ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal
48.5%

Draw
24.2%

Betis
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

25.3%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

25.9%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Betis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Betis than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.3%	25.5%	27.3%

Villarreal - Betis Predictions

Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Villarreal will win (votes: 26 - 47.3%). Betis will win (votes: 15 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 25.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 34.1% – 60.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Villarreal (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Betis (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5 - over (8.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (4.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (3.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Betis (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (2.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (2.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Villarreal (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.50) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

O/U 2.5 - over (1.53) (votes: 93%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Villarreal (votes: 4 - 40%). Betis (votes: 3 - 30%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Gulacsi P. (G) 15. Mourino S. 6. Navarro P. 12. Veiga R. 20. Romero C. 19. Pepe N. 18. Gueye P. 14. Comesana S. 17. Buchanan T. 7. Moreno G. (C) 9. Mikautadze G.	1. Valles A. (G) 2. Bellerin H. 5. Bartra M. 4. Natan 11. Garcia F. 8. Fornals P. 21. Roca M. 17. Riquelme R. 22. Isco (C) 10. Ezzalzouli A. 9. Hernandez C.
Substitutes
11. Akhomach I. 23. Cardona S. 2. Costa L. 5. Diatta A. 3. Freeman A. 13. Gomez R. (G) 1. Luiz Junior (G) 16. Macia C. 10. Moleiro A. 21. Oluwaseyi T. 22. Perez A. 24. Saliba N.	7. Antony 6. Bernal F. 25. Ceballos D. 18. Deossa N. 15. Fidalgo A. 23. Firpo J. 16. Gomez V. 31. Gonzalez M. (G) 20. Lo Celso G. 14. Losada I. 12. Ortiz A. 19. Parrott T.
Coaches
Perez I.	Pellegrini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
29', 1 - 0, Moreno G. ⚽, Veiga R. (A),
39', 1 - 1, Hernandez C. ⚽,
43', 1 - 2, Natan ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Gueye P. ↓, Saliba N. ↑,
55', Buchanan T. ↓, Moleiro A. ↑,
57', Isco ↓, Ceballos D. ↑,
62', Moreno G. ↓, Oluwaseyi T. ↑,
67', Riquelme R. ↓, Deossa N. ↑,
67', Ezzalzouli A. ↓, Antony ↑,
76', Pepe N. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
76', Mourino S. ↓, Freeman A. ↑,
84', Fornals P. ↓, Bernal F. ↑,
84', Hernandez C. ↓, Lo Celso G. ↑,
84', Veiga R. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 2.

Villarreal is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Betis is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Villarreal has had a series of away games.

Villarreal might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Betis: Llorente D. (Broken nose) Morante J. (Coach's decision) Ruibal A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Villarreal: Foyth J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Romero C. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:23. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Villarreal won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2:1.2).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Betis: 0.89% Villarreal: 0.44%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Betis	7	5	1	1	9:7	2	16
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13:12	1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal CF
UEFA Champions League
08.09.26	Borussia Dortmund - Villarreal	3:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
05.09.26	Villarreal - Deportivo A Coruña	2:3 ✺
28.08.26	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Atlético Madrid - Villarreal	2:2 ✺
16.08.26	Racing Santander - Villarreal	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLTT
- Real Betis
UEFA Champions League
08.09.26	Lille - Betis	2:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
04.09.26	Betis - Real Madrid	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Levante - Betis	5:2 ✺
25.08.26	Valencia - Betis	0:1 ✺
21.08.26	Betis - Real Sociedad	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
17.01.26	Betis - Villarreal	2:0
18.10.25	Villarreal - Betis	2:2
13.04.25	Betis - Villarreal	1:2
15.12.24	Villarreal - Betis	1:2
10.03.24	Betis - Villarreal	2:3
13.08.23	Villarreal - Betis	1:2
12.03.23	Villarreal - Betis	1:1

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