Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 10

Date: 9 October 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)

Referee: De La Fuente Ramos O. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
France	beIN Sports Max
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3


	Villarreal B		Espanyol

	1	X	2
	4.75	4	1.7	Watch
	4.2	3.75	1.68
	4.5	3.75	1.7	Watch
	4.98	4.01	1.72
	4.33	3.75	1.75
	4.5	4.05	1.69	Watch
	4.4	3.9	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.52 ↑ (3.81)	3.89 ↑ (3.54)	1.71 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal B
20.8%

Draw
24.2%

Espanyol
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

26.2%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

25.8%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Espanyol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Espanyol's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.1%	6.1%	87.9%

Villarreal B - Espanyol Predictions

Users Predictions: Espanyol will win (29 of 33 users predict this - 87.88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.74% – 99.02%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez I. (G) 16. Lanchi 29. Espigares A. 12. Lekovic S. 18. Romero C. 2. Altimira A. 6. del Moral A. (C) 8. Garcia C. 10. Ontiveros J. 11. Pascual J. 9. Fores A.	13. Pacheco F. (G) 31. El Hilali O. 3. Gomez S. (C) 5. Calero F. 6. Cabrera L. 7. Puado J. 10. Lozano P. 18. Aguado A. 12. Ramon 22. Braithwaite M. 11. Milla P.
Substitutes
17. Blanco F. 7. Collado D. 24. Ferrari A. 14. Gelardo A. 22. Geralnik T. 13. Morro M. A. (G) 4. Perez H. 5. Rando A. 27. Requena D. 21. Rodri 15. Sanchez M. 3. Tasende D.	9. Balde K. 20. Exposito 33. Fortuno A. (G) 1. Garcia J. (G) 2. Gil O. 15. Gragera J. 17. Jofre 16. Lazo J. 21. Melamed N. 14. Olivan B. 4. Ruiz V.
Coaches
Alvarez M.	Garcia L.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

Recent matches Villarreal B is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Espanyol is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Espanyol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Espanyol is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal B
Spanish LaLiga2
03.10.23	Levante - Villarreal B	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Villarreal B - Alcorcón	2:2 ✺
24.09.23	Villarreal B - Amorebieta	3:1 ✺
16.09.23	Huesca - Villarreal B	2:2 ✺
10.09.23	Ferrol - Villarreal B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTWTT
- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga2
05.10.23	Cartagena - Espanyol	0:2 ✺
02.10.23	Espanyol - Ferrol	3:0 ✺
25.09.23	Tenerife - Espanyol	1:0 ✺
17.09.23	Espanyol - Eldense	3:3 ✺
08.09.23	Levante - Espanyol	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLTW

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