Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 7

Date: 24 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)

Referee: Alvendiz L. (Esp)


	Villarreal B		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3.6	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.5	Watch
	2.15	3.46	3.65
	2.12	3.32	3.46	Watch
	2	3.45	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.74)	3.39 ↓ (3.46)	3.55 ↓ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal B
45.3%

Draw
28%

Amorebieta
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

27%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

26.2%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villarreal B's form might have worsened.

Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Amorebieta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villarreal B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Amorebieta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	18.2%	27.3%

Villarreal B - Amorebieta Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Villarreal B will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Amorebieta will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal B: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez I. (G) 2. Altimira A. 12. Lekovic S. 29. Espigares A. 5. Rando A. 27. Requena D. 6. del Moral A. (C) 8. Garcia C. 10. Ontiveros J. 11. Pascual J. 9. Fores A.	30. Campos P. (G) 2. Mier J. 4. Manu 3. Etxeita X. (C) 28. Garreta F. 7. Dorrio J. 21. Carbonell A. 8. Moran E. 22. Morcillo J. 9. Jauregi E. 10. Edwards R.
Substitutes
17. Blanco F. 24. Ferrari A. 14. Gelardo A. 22. Geralnik T. 35. Gomez R. (G) 16. Lanchi 23. Moreno V. 13. Morro M. A. (G) 4. Perez H. 21. Rodri 15. Sanchez M.	29. Da Graca C. M. 14. Eraso J. 24. Gaya J. 16. Lasure D. 13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 1. Marino U. (G) 15. Nunez A. 27. Quintero L. 17. Rodriguez R. 11. Seguin I. 20. Sibo K.
Coaches
Alvarez M.	Mujika H.

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 12).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Amorebieta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Villarreal B will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal B
Spanish LaLiga2
16.09.23	Huesca - Villarreal B	2:2 ✺
10.09.23	Ferrol - Villarreal B	2:2 ✺
02.09.23	Villarreal B - Cartagena	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	Elche - Villarreal B	1:0 ✺
21.08.23	Villarreal B - Eldense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TTLLW
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish LaLiga2
17.09.23	Amorebieta - Mirandés	2:0 ✺
10.09.23	Racing Santander - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
03.09.23	Espanyol - Amorebieta	3:2 ✺
27.08.23	Amorebieta - FC Andorra	3:0 ✺
20.08.23	Albacete Balompié - Amorebieta	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WLLWT

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