Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 5

Date: 10 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal da Malata (Ferrol)

Referee: Toca Lopez J. (Esp)


	Ferrol		Villarreal B

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.87	3.3	4.35
	1.9	3.44	4.71
	2	2.9	3.6
	1.86	3.42	4.4	Watch
	1.9	3.35	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.33)	3.32 ↑ (2.95)	4.23 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrol
49.5%

Draw
28.3%

Villarreal B
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

31.4%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

30.6%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferrol's performance.

Villarreal B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villarreal B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferrol that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villarreal B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	5.9%	0%

Ferrol - Villarreal B Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Ferrol will win (votes: 16 - 94.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferrol: 82.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Cantero A. (G) 24. Cubero S. 4. Garcia H. J. 5. Clemente E. 18. Martinez B. 23. Vicente C. 6. Bernal J. 10. Sene J. 7. Pena H. 22. Losada I. 19. Sabin	13. Morro M. A. (G) 2. Altimira A. 12. Lekovic S. 5. Rando A. 18. Romero C. 21. Rodri 6. del Moral A. (C) 8. Garcia C. 10. Ontiveros J. 11. Pascual J. 9. Fores A.
Substitutes
15. Castro D. 2. Delmas J. 13. Emilio (G) 1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 20. Gimenez A. 9. Justo M. 8. Lopez A. 16. Manzanara F. 21. Moi 3. Pumar F.	17. Blanco F. 29. Espigares A. 24. Ferrari A. 14. Gelardo A. 22. Geralnik T. 35. Gomez R. (G) 16. Lanchi 23. Moreno V. 4. Perez H. 27. Requena D. 15. Sanchez M.
Coaches
Parralo C.	Alvarez M.

Preview

Ferrol is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villarreal B is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Villarreal B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ferrol have a series of guest games.

In this match Ferrol is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish LaLiga2
01.09.23	Alcorcón - Ferrol	1:1 ✺
27.08.23	Ferrol - Sporting de Gijón	2:0 ✺
20.08.23	Real Oviedo - Ferrol	1:1 ✺
12.08.23	Elche - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.23	Real Oviedo - Ferrol	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 TWTWT
- Villarreal B
Spanish LaLiga2
02.09.23	Villarreal B - Cartagena	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	Elche - Villarreal B	1:0 ✺
21.08.23	Villarreal B - Eldense	3:1 ✺
12.08.23	Zaragoza - Villarreal B	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Tenerife - Villarreal B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLL

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