Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 8

Date: 2 October 2023, Monday

Location: Stage Front Stadium (Cornella de Llobregat)

Referee: Quintero A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	CMore, CMore MAX
France	beIN Sports Max
Greece	Nova Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Espanyol		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.9	6	Watch
	1.53	3.75	5.75
	1.57	4	5.5	Watch
	1.57	4.07	6.63
	1.57	3.96	5.8	Watch
	1.56	3.9	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.72)	3.93 ↑ (3.47)	5.91 ↑ (4.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espanyol
60.2%

Draw
23.9%

Ferrol
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

26.9%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

25.9%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espanyol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Espanyol's performance.

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.3%	0%	8.7%

Espanyol - Ferrol Predictions

Users Predictions: Espanyol will win (21 of 23 users predict this - 91.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Pacheco F. (G) 31. El Hilali O. 5. Calero F. 6. Cabrera L. 14. Olivan B. 11. Milla P. 8. Bare K. 10. Lozano P. 21. Melamed N. 22. Braithwaite M. 7. Puado J.	25. Cantero A. (G) 2. Delmas J. 4. Garcia H. J. 15. Castro D. (C) 21. Moi 6. Bernal J. 10. Sene J. 23. Vicente C. 22. Losada I. 11. Nacho 19. Sabin
Substitutes
18. Aguado A. 20. Exposito 33. Fortuno A. (G) 1. Garcia J. (G) 2. Gil O. 3. Gomez S. 15. Gragera J. 12. Ramon 29. Roca A. 4. Ruiz V. 19. Sanchez S.	5. Clemente E. 24. Cubero S. 13. Emilio (G) 1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 20. Gimenez A. 9. Justo M. 8. Lopez A. 16. Manzanara F. 18. Martinez B. 7. Pena H. 3. Pumar F. 14. Vadillo A.
Coaches
Garcia L.	Parralo C.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).

Espanyol is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ferrol is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Espanyol is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga2
25.09.23	Tenerife - Espanyol	1:0 ✺
17.09.23	Espanyol - Eldense	3:3 ✺
08.09.23	Levante - Espanyol	1:4 ✺
03.09.23	Espanyol - Amorebieta	3:2 ✺
27.08.23	Mirandés - Espanyol	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTWWW
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish LaLiga2
25.09.23	Ferrol - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
17.09.23	Eibar - Ferrol	2:0 ✺
10.09.23	Ferrol - Villarreal B	2:2 ✺
01.09.23	Alcorcón - Ferrol	1:1 ✺
27.08.23	Ferrol - Sporting de Gijón	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLTTW

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