Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 9

Date: 5 October 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Municipal Cartagonova (Cartagena)

Referee: Alvendiz L. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports Max
Portugal	Eleven Sports


	Cartagena		Espanyol

	1	X	2
	4	3.6	1.91	Watch
	3.8	3.3	1.85
	4	3.5	1.87	Watch
	4.38	3.67	1.89
	3.8	3.5	1.91
	4.1	3.6	1.85	Watch
	3.9	3.5	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↓ (4.37)	3.52 ↑ (3.5)	1.88 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena
23.5%

Draw
26.6%

Espanyol
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

26.9%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

26.4%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5%	10%	85%

Cartagena - Espanyol Predictions

Users Predictions: Espanyol will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez M. (C) 23. Alarcon T. 4. Alcala P. 16. Calero I. 19. Embalo U. 14. Fontan J. 21. Jansson I. 8. Munoz L. 9. Ortuno A. 17. Rico M. 5. Verdu G.	13. Pacheco F. (G) 22. Braithwaite M. 6. Cabrera L. 31. El Hilali O. 20. Exposito 3. Gomez S. 10. Lozano P. 21. Melamed N. 11. Milla P. 14. Olivan B. 7. Puado J.
Substitutes
32. Alamo J. 35. Ayllon I. 7. Ferreiro D. 10. Hevel H. 24. Jony 11. Juan Carlos 29. Lauti 18. Musto D. 12. Narvaez J. 13. Raul C. (G) 27. Saldana J. (G) 33. Sola A.	18. Aguado A. 5. Calero F. 33. Fortuno A. (G) 1. Garcia J. (G) 2. Gil O. 15. Gragera J. 17. Jofre 16. Lazo J. 12. Ramon 29. Roca A. 4. Ruiz V.
Coaches
Calero J.	Garcia L.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Cartagena is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Espanyol is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cartagena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Espanyol will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Cartagena won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
01.10.23	Amorebieta - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
22.09.23	Cartagena - Eibar	1:2 ✺
16.09.23	Valladolid - Cartagena	1:0 ✺
10.09.23	Cartagena - Zaragoza	1:3 ✺
02.09.23	Villarreal B - Cartagena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLLLW
- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga2
02.10.23	Espanyol - Ferrol	3:0 ✺
25.09.23	Tenerife - Espanyol	1:0 ✺
17.09.23	Espanyol - Eldense	3:3 ✺
08.09.23	Levante - Espanyol	1:4 ✺
03.09.23	Espanyol - Amorebieta	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
14.05.21	Espanyol - Cartagena	0:2
02.12.20	Cartagena - Espanyol	1:3

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