Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 42

Date: 2 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)

Referee: Quintero A. (Esp)


	Villarreal B		Racing Santander

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.9	1.75	Watch
	3.9	3.9	1.71
	4	4.2	1.72	Watch
	4.38	4.09	1.76
	4.38	4.04	1.73
	4.2	4	1.7
	4.24	4.1	1.75	Watch
	4.3	3.9	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↑ (2.6)	4.02 ↑ (3.37)	1.73 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal B
22.3%

Draw
23.4%

Racing Santander
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

27.8%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

27.7%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villarreal B's form might have worsened.

Racing Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Racing Santander's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villarreal B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-18.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Racing Santander, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.5%	6.1%	89.4%

Villarreal B - Racing Santander Predictions

Users Predictions: 66 users predict this event. Villarreal B will win (votes: 3 - 4.5%). Racing will win (votes: 59 - 89.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 6.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 82% – 96.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez I. (C) 2. Altimira A. 33. Navarro P. 12. Lekovic S. 3. Tasende D. 22. Geralnik T. 21. Rodri 27. Requena D. 18. Romero C. 7. Collado D. 11. Pascual J.	13. Ezkieta J. (G) 23. Fernandez D. 18. Manu 5. Sanchez G. 3. Garcia S. 6. Sainz-Maza I. 21. Aldasoro A. 8. Mboula J. 17. Peque 10. Vicente I. 9. Arana J.
Substitutes
36. Cabanes P. 29. Espigares A. 24. Ferrari A. 14. Gelardo A. 35. Gomez R. (G) 38. Hernandez G. 23. Moreno V. 13. Morro M. A. (G) 15. Sanchez M. 28. Tafalla F.	15. Alves R. 12. Baturina R. 33. Bustillo M. 40. Garcia M. 22. Gutierrez J. 29. Jeremy Arevalo 20. Junior L. 11. Martin A. 4. Moreno P. 1. Parera P. M. (G) 7. Sangalli M. 14. Zenitagoia E.
Coaches
Alvarez M.	Lopez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Aldasoro A. 🟨,
38', Pascual J. 🟨,
40', Geralnik T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Mboula J. 🟨,
69', Collado D. ↓, Cabanes P. ↑,
69', Pascual J. ↓, Moreno V. ↑,
72', 1 - 0, Moreno V. ⚽, Altimira A. (A),
77', Peque ↓, Martin A. ↑,
77', Mboula J. ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
87', Geralnik T. ↓, Gelardo A. ↑,
89', Manu ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
89', Sainz-Maza I. ↓, Jeremy Arevalo ↑,
90', Rodri 🟨,
90+2', Cabanes P. 🟨,
90+3', Requena D. ↓, Hernandez G. ↑,
90+4', Alvarez I. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Villarreal B is Relegated to

Villarreal B is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Racing is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Villarreal B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Racing is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Villarreal B won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Villarreal B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal B
Spanish LaLiga2
26.05.24	Valladolid - Villarreal B	3:2 ✺
20.05.24	Villarreal B - Albacete Balompié	2:2 ✺
12.05.24	Amorebieta - Villarreal B	2:0 ✺
03.05.24	Villarreal B - Levante	0:3 ✺
28.04.24	Sporting de Gijón - Villarreal B	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTLLW
- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
26.05.24	Racing Santander - Zaragoza	0:2 ✺
18.05.24	Huesca - Racing Santander	0:3 ✺
11.05.24	Racing Santander - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
04.05.24	Racing Santander - Elche	3:1 ✺
26.04.24	FC Andorra - Racing Santander	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
25.11.23	Racing Santander - Villarreal B	2:0
19.02.23	Villarreal B - Racing Santander	2:1
14.08.22	Racing Santander - Villarreal B	0:2

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