Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 39

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Lezama Facilities (Lezama)

Referee: Trujillo Suarez D. (Esp)


	Amorebieta		Villarreal B

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.3	2.7	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.65
	2.55	3.25	2.7	Watch
	2.46	3.2	2.94
	2.66	3.29	2.83
	2.58	3.28	2.76	Watch
	2.55	3.2	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.38)	3.25 ↑ (3.2)	2.76 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
37%

Draw
29%

Villarreal B
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

29.6%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

31.3%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Villarreal B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	30%	10%

Amorebieta - Villarreal B Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Amorebieta will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Villarreal B will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Amorebieta: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 15. Nunez A. 5. Bustinza U. 24. Gaya J. 16. Lasure D. 7. Dorrio J. 6. Yriarte J. 20. Sibo K. 22. Morcillo J. 9. Jauregi E. 23. Unzueta I.	1. Alvarez I. (G) 2. Altimira A. 29. Espigares A. 19. Iniguez P. 3. Tasende D. 17. Novoa Ramos H. 33. Navarro P. 21. Rodri 27. Requena D. 10. Ontiveros J. 9. Fores A.
Substitutes
30. Cunat P. (G) 10. Edwards R. 14. Eraso J. 19. Locadia J. 1. Marino U. (G) 8. Moran E. 17. Rodriguez R. 11. Seguin I.	7. Collado D. 24. Ferrari A. 14. Gelardo A. 22. Geralnik T. 23. Moreno V. 13. Morro M. A. (G) 11. Pascual J. 15. Sanchez M.
Coaches
Jandro	Alvarez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Fores A. ↓, Pascual J. ↑,
45', Gaya J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Espigares A. 🟥,
55', Ontiveros J. (Pen),
65', Iniguez P. ↓, Sanchez M. ↑,
71', Sanchez M. 🟨,
73', 1 - 0, Unzueta I. (Pen),
78', Jauregi E. ↓, Eraso J. ↑,
85', Morcillo J. ↓, Edwards R. ↑,
85', Yriarte J. ↓, Moran E. ↑,
85', Novoa Ramos H. ↓, Collado D. ↑,
85', Requena D. ↓, Ferrari A. ↑,
90', Unzueta I. ↓, Locadia J. ↑,
90+9', Tasende D. 🟨,
90+11', 2 - 0, Edwards R. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Amorebieta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish LaLiga2
05.05.24	Eibar - Amorebieta	5:0 ✺
27.04.24	Burgos - Amorebieta	2:2 ✺
20.04.24	Amorebieta - Valladolid	0:3 ✺
13.04.24	Levante - Amorebieta	1:2 ✺
05.04.24	Amorebieta - Ferrol	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 LTLWW
- Villarreal B
Spanish LaLiga2
03.05.24	Villarreal B - Levante	0:3 ✺
28.04.24	Sporting de Gijón - Villarreal B	0:3 ✺
20.04.24	Villarreal B - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
15.04.24	Alcorcón - Villarreal B	1:0 ✺
07.04.24	Villarreal B - Burgos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
24.09.23	Villarreal B - Amorebieta	3:1

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