Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 21

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Sardinero (Santander)

Referee: Etayo G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
Argentina	DSports 6
Australia	beIN Connect
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Ecuador	DSports 6
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Malaysia	beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport
Uruguay	DSports 6


	Racing Santander		Zaragoza

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.8	4.5	Watch
	1.7	3.8	4.45	Watch
	1.72	3.96	4.56	Watch
	1.73	3.6	4.4
	1.74	3.89	4.78	Watch
	1.7	3.75	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.6)	3.8 ↓ (4.22)	4.57 ↓ (5.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Santander
54.8%

Draw
24.7%

Zaragoza
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

22.4%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

22%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing Santander, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Racing Santander - Zaragoza Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25, 1st Half - Racing (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Zaragoza (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Racing Santander will win (18 of 18 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Racing Santander will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Zaragoza (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ezkieta J. (G) 2. Mantilla A. (C) 5. Castro J. 16. Gonzalez F. 32. Salinas J. 14. Gueye M. 19. Puerta G. 15. Sangalli M. 18. Canales P. 10. Vicente I. 11. Martin A.	1. Andrada E. (G) 36. Gomes A. 4. Insua P. 33. Saidu Y. 3. Tasende D. 10. Guti R. 6. Bare K. 14. Francho (C) 8. Moya T. 23. Cuenca M. A. 19. Kodro K.
Substitutes
8. Aldasoro A. 20. Camara S. 44. Fuentes D. 3. Garcia M. 35. Gomez Rodriguez L. (G) 27. Lozano M. 4. Manu 21. Ramon P. 23. Rodriguez D. 6. Sainz-Maza I. 43. Santi F.	12. Bakis S. 32. Barrachina H. 11. Bazdar S. 9. Gomez D. 17. Moyano F. 31. Pinilla H. 15. Pomares C. 16. Radovanovic A. 13. Rodriguez A. (G) 2. Sebastian J. 7. Soberon M. 34. Terrer L.
Coaches
Lopez J.	Selles R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Kodro K. ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, Kodro K. ⚽, Francho (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Castro J. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
46', Gueye M. ↓, Lozano M. ↑,
46', Bare K. ↓, Soberon M. ↑,
54', 0 - 3, Kodro K. ⚽, Tasende D. (A),
54', Kodro K. 🟨,
59', Mantilla A. 🟨,
59', Cuenca M. A. 🟨,
65', Canales P. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
65', Insua P. ↓, Radovanovic A. ↑,
65', Kodro K. ↓, Bakis S. ↑,
69', Gomes A. ↓, Sebastian J. ↑,
72', Sangalli M. 🟨,
77', Tasende D. ↓, Pomares C. ↑,
80', Martin A. ↓, Fuentes D. ↑,
80', Mantilla A. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
82', 1 - 3, Puerta G. ⚽, Salinas J. (A),
86', Soberon M. 🟥,
90+1', Andrada E. 🟨,
90+2', Puerta G. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 3, Lozano M. ⚽, Fuentes D. (A),
90+4', Bakis S. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 21 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2.

Racing is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zaragoza's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Racing is the team to beat.

There will not play in Racing: Ezkieta J. (Shoulder Injury) Michelin C. (Injury)

There will not play in Zaragoza: Aguirregabiria M. (Injury) Carbonell L. (Knee Injury) Kosa S. (Injury) Sans P. (Inactive) Tachi (Yellow Cards) de la Fuente P. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Zaragoza: Radovanovic A. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Racing won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
03.01.26	Valladolid - Racing Santander	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Huesca - Racing Santander	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Racing Santander - Villarreal	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
13.12.25	Racing Santander - Leganés	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Cádiz - Racing Santander	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TTWTW
- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
04.01.26	Zaragoza - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Burgos - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Zaragoza - Cádiz	1:2 ✺
08.12.25	Málaga - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Zaragoza - Burgos	0:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
29.03.25	Racing Santander - Zaragoza	2:0
05.10.24	Zaragoza - Racing Santander	2:3
26.05.24	Racing Santander - Zaragoza	0:2
15.09.23	Zaragoza - Racing Santander	1:1
15.04.23	Zaragoza - Racing Santander	4:1
12.10.22	Racing Santander - Zaragoza	1:0
29.02.20	Racing Santander - Zaragoza	2:2

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