Match Info

National - Round 31

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Armand Chouffet (Villefranche-sur-Saône)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV
World	FIFA+


	Villefranche		Boulogne

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.87	2.75
	3.05	2.95	2.4
	2.98	3.04	2.61
	3.01	2.94	2.4	Watch
	2.5	2.8	2.8
	3.12	2.94	2.38	Watch
	3.05	2.95	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.85)	2.93 ↑ (2.92)	2.53 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villefranche
32.1%

Draw
31.5%

Boulogne
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

31.8%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

31.9%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villefranche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Boulogne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villefranche than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Villefranche - Boulogne Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Villefranche will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Boulogne will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Boulogne (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Boulogne (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Boulogne (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pean S. (G) 39. Negouai B. 14. Baseya S. 3. Vinicius Gomes 29. Bastian M. 15. Calodat L. 10. Mroivili R. 28. Abou Demba H. 8. Joly O. 6. Rocchia C. 22. Kissling P.	16. Pandor Y. (G) 11. Averlant T. 15. Pinot A. 23. Dabo E. 26. Thiam D. 12. Boyer J. 5. Zohore N. 14. Bultel J. 8. Vercruysse J. 17. Fatou C. 24. Epailly T.
Substitutes
19. Ba I. 7. Diakite A. 40. Lunardi C. (G) 4. Monzango N. 21. Valerio A.	27. Baala A. 7. Busin A. 22. Duflos S. 20. Toure H. 30. Uriev A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Boyer J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Vercruysse J. ⚽,
53', Bultel J. 🟨,
56', Mroivili R. (Pen),
59', Mroivili R. ↓, Diakite A. ↑,
64', Kissling P. ↓, Ba I. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Joly O. ⚽, Diakite A. (A),
74', Dabo E. 🟨,
75', Fatou C. ↓, Baala A. ↑,
76', Averlant T. ↓, Busin A. ↑,
79', Diakite A. 🟨,
80', Bultel J. ↓, Toure H. ↑,
81', Rocchia C. 🟨,
85', Vinicius Gomes ↓, Monzango N. ↑,
86', Rocchia C. ↓, Valerio A. ↑,
90+2', Epailly T. ↓, Duflos S. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Villefranche won 2.

Villefranche is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Boulogne is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Villefranche won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:4 (average 0.9:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Villefranche won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Villefranche
French Ligue 3
18.04.25	Dijon - Villefranche	2:0 ✺
11.04.25	Villefranche - Sochaux	0:1 ✺
04.04.25	Châteauroux - Villefranche	2:2 ✺
28.03.25	Versailles - Villefranche	1:1 ✺
21.03.25	Villefranche - Concarneau	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLTTT
- US Boulogne
French Ligue 3
18.04.25	Boulogne - Versailles	1:0 ✺
11.04.25	Concarneau - Boulogne	1:1 ✺
04.04.25	Boulogne - Rouen FC	1:2 ✺
28.03.25	Valenciennes - Boulogne	2:3 ✺
21.03.25	Boulogne - Nîmes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
13.12.24	Boulogne - Villefranche	1:0
01.03.22	Villefranche - Boulogne	2:1
03.09.21	Boulogne - Villefranche	0:1
27.02.21	Villefranche - Boulogne	1:1
28.09.20	Boulogne - Villefranche	0:0
02.08.19	Villefranche - Boulogne	1:0
29.03.19	Villefranche - Boulogne	2:1

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