Match Info

Serie B - Round 15

Date: 1 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Vinotinto		Gualaceo

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.98	3.25
	2.17	3.12	3.08
	2.35	2.90	3.27	Watch
	2.14	3.05	3.00
	2.18	3.04	3.20
	2.16	3.1	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.17)	3.03 ↑ (2.9)	3.12 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vinotinto
41.2%

Draw
29.8%

Gualaceo
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

31.2%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

31.8%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Gualaceo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	18.2%	9.1%

Vinotinto - Gualaceo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Vinotinto (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Vinotinto will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vinotinto (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', 1 - 1, ⚽,
87', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 10 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vinotinto won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Vinotinto might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Vinotinto won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 0.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Vinotinto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Vinotinto	29	13	9	7	37:22	15	48

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuadorian Serie B
09.06.26	9 de Octubre - Vinotinto	2:1 ✺
04.06.26	Vinotinto - Cumbayá	1:1 ✺
31.05.26	Vinotinto - Atlético Rojiblanco	3:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
27.05.26	Vinotinto - Orense	2:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
23.05.26	LDU Portoviejo - Vinotinto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTWWL
- Gualaceo SC
Ecuadorian Serie B
10.06.26	Gualaceo - Cumbayá	1:0 ✺
06.06.26	LDU Portoviejo - Gualaceo	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
03.06.26	Gualaceo - Mushuc Runa	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
30.05.26	Gualaceo - Deportivo Santo Domingo	1:0 ✺
22.05.26	Atlético Rojiblanco - Gualaceo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
18.04.26	Gualaceo - Vinotinto	0:0
Ecuadorian Copa
14.08.25	Gualaceo - Vinotinto	2:1
Ecuadorian Serie B
18.09.24	Gualaceo - Vinotinto	1:0
31.07.24	Vinotinto - Gualaceo	2:0
14.05.24	Vinotinto - Gualaceo	1:0
21.03.24	Gualaceo - Vinotinto	0:1

Vinotinto - Gualaceo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide