The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente Juniors 36.5%
Draw 31.9%
Vinotinto 31.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.8%
29.8%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.1%
30%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Vinotinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Independiente Juniors - Vinotinto Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Independiente Jr will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Vinotinto will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 1 - 0, ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', 2 - 1, ⚽,
61', 2 - 2, ⚽,
73', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente Jr won 1.
Independiente Jr has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Vinotinto is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Recently, Vinotinto has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Independiente Jr is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Independiente Jr has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:14 (averaging 1.4:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Independiente Jr against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 10:6 goals (averaging 2:1.2 per game).
Standings
Promotion Group
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Vinotinto
31
14
9
8
39:23
16
51
3
Ind. Juniors
31
13
11
7
36:26
10
50
Last Results with these Odds
Independiente Juniors - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 39.8%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Ecuador
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