Match Info

BOLIVIA: DIVISION PROFESIONAL - ROUND 32

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor		Bolívar

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.8	1.91	Watch
	3.1	3.5	1.93
	3.3	3.75	1.95	Watch
	3.46	3.92	1.97
	3.46	3.92	1.78
	3.26	3.84	1.98	Watch
	3.25	3.65	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (3.05)	3.77 ↑ (3.53)	1.93 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vinto Atlético Palmaflor
27.4%

Draw
24.5%

Bolívar
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

25.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

25.3%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vinto Atlético Palmaflor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinto Atlético Palmaflor than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Bolívar Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Palmaflor will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Bolívar will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolívar: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Adorno C. (G) 28. Guerra J. 16. Montero R. 15. Alcocer P. 20. Baldomar O. 14. Vargas L. 66. Spenhay R. 4. Rodriguez L. 29. Adrian J. 11. Hurtado Badani L. E. 9. Melgar S.	1. Lampe C. (G) 8. Bejarano Di. 29. Paz L. 22. Ferreyra N. 4. Sagredo J. 17. Rodriguez P. 20. Saucedo F. 11. Vaca R. 19. Da Costa F. 9. Fernandez R. 10. Bruno Savio
Substitutes
30. Alvarez B. 31. Coronel R. 2. Fernandez K. 18. Garzon M. 33. Huasna N. 39. Hunacota Terceros R. (G) 13. Luna F. 23. Orihuela R. 27. Roco T. 35. Saavedra J. 6. Serrano M. 24. Vasquez D.	18. Algaranaz C. 34. Arancibia A. (G) 3. Bentaberry B. 13. Herrera J. 23. Justiniano L. 5. Quinteros J. 14. Rocha Y. 2. Sagredo J. 24. Uzeda J. 15. Villamil G. 16. Villarroel M.
Coaches
Perez J.	San Jose B.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Palmaflor won 0.

Recent matches Palmaflor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bolívar is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bolívar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bolívar will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Palmaflor won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Palmaflor won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vinto Atlético Palmaflor
Bolivian Division Profesional
19.11.23	Independiente Petroleros - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	1:0 ✺
10.11.23	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Universitario de Vinto	1:1 ✺
06.11.23	Nacional Potosí - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	4:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
01.11.23	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Guabirá	3:2 ✺
29.10.23	Real Santa Cruz - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTLWT
- Bolívar La Paz
Bolivian Division Profesional
11.11.23	Bolívar - Independiente Petroleros	5:1 ✺
08.11.23	Vaca Díez - Bolívar	4:3 ✺
05.11.23	Universitario de Vinto - Bolívar	2:2 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
02.11.23	Bolívar - Real Tomayapo	2:1 ✺
30.10.23	Libertad Gran Mamoré - Bolívar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
26.05.23	Bolívar - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	5:1
07.10.22	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Bolívar	1:1
28.07.22	Bolívar - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	2:2
01.12.21	Bolívar - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	3:1
03.08.21	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Bolívar	2:2
01.12.20	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Bolívar	1:0
22.01.20	Bolívar - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	3:1

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