Match Info

BOLIVIA: DIVISION PROFESIONAL - ROUND 17

Date: 23 June 2023, Friday

Location: Quillacollo Stadium (Quillacollo)


	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor		Real Tomayapo

	1	X	2
	1.45	4	6	Watch
	1.46	4.2	5.25
	1.48	4.3	5.6
	1.47	4.59	5.98
	1.44	4	6
	1.47	4.6	6.15	Watch
	1.48	4.4	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.75)	4.3 ↑ (3.25)	5.8 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vinto Atlético Palmaflor
62.8%

Draw
21.4%

Real Tomayapo
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

28.1%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

27.2%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vinto Atlético Palmaflor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vinto Atlético Palmaflor's performance.

Real Tomayapo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vinto Atlético Palmaflor than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vinto Atlético Palmaflor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Tomayapo than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Real Tomayapo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Palmaflor will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Tomayapo will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Escobar R. (G) 20. Baldomar O. 44. Mina Meza A. R. 21. Ortiz M. 31. Coronel R. 29. Adrian J. 14. Vargas L. 66. Spenhay R. 10. Pisano M. 19. Alvarez G. 33. Huasna N.	23. Galindo P. (G) 33. Mamani K. 5. Corulo L. 19. Padilha Hallysson 21. Noble M. 7. Thiago 17. Jeffinho 22. Azogue P. 6. Villamil S. 18. Ali L. 29. Graneros A.
Substitutes
25. Adorno C. (G) 7. Canete J. 28. Guerra J. 11. Hurtado Badani L. E. 8. Lima R. 13. Luna F. 16. Montero R. 23. Orihuela R. 4. Rodriguez L. 6. Serrano M.	31. Arancibia A. (G) 20. Cuiza S. 4. Galindo P. 3. Martinez P. 25. Maygua L. 32. Mendez R. 15. Orellana J. 27. Pariani D. 2. Rioja J.
Coaches
Brizuela C.	Vita J.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 9).

Palmaflor is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tomayapo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Palmaflor is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Palmaflor won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Palmaflor won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vinto Atlético Palmaflor
Bolivian Division Profesional
31.05.23	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Always Ready	0:2 ✺
26.05.23	Bolívar - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	5:1 ✺
21.05.23	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Independiente Petroleros	0:1 ✺
12.05.23	Universitario de Vinto - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	0:1 ✺
07.05.23	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Nacional Potosí	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLWL
- Real Tomayapo
Bolivian Division Profesional
03.06.23	Real Tomayapo - Bolívar	0:0 ✺
27.05.23	Independiente Petroleros - Real Tomayapo	0:3 ✺
19.05.23	Real Tomayapo - Universitario de Vinto	0:2 ✺
12.05.23	Nacional Potosí - Real Tomayapo	3:1 ✺
06.05.23	Real Tomayapo - Jorge Wilstermann	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
12.09.22	Real Tomayapo - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	2:2
05.07.22	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Real Tomayapo	2:1
11.12.21	Real Tomayapo - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	3:3
14.08.21	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Real Tomayapo	2:0

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