Match Info

BOLIVIA: DIVISION PROFESIONAL - ROUND 15

Date: 26 May 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Hernando Siles (La Paz)


	Bolívar		Vinto Atlético Palmaflor

	1	X	2
	1.29	7	9	Watch
	1.23	6.25	7.75
	1.25	6	8.5
	1.27	6.09	8.13
	1.22	5.5	9.5
	1.25	6.5	9.4	Watch
	1.24	6.2	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.49)	6.22 ↑ (4.2)	8.61 ↑ (5.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolívar
74.3%

Draw
14.9%

Vinto Atlético Palmaflor
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

21.7%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

20.6%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bolívar's performance.

Vinto Atlético Palmaflor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vinto Atlético Palmaflor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bolívar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinto Atlético Palmaflor than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vinto Atlético Palmaflor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bolívar - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lampe C. (G) 8. Bejarano Di. (C) 22. Ferreyra N. 2. Sagredo J. 30. Chavez Cruz L. L. 15. Villamil G. 5. Haquin L. 21. Fernandez R. 9. Fernandez R. 11. Vaca R. 24. Uzeda J.	25. Adorno C. (G) 16. Montero R. 31. Coronel R. 44. Mina Meza A. R. 21. Ortiz M. 33. Huasna N. 6. Serrano M. 14. Vargas L. 29. Adrian J. 19. Alvarez G. (C) 7. Canete J.
Substitutes
18. Algaranaz C. 3. Bentaberry B. 12. Cordano R. (G) 19. Gabriel Poveda 7. Hervias P. 23. Justiniano L. 31. Mejia Mejia J. (G) 10. Melgar C. A. 17. Rodriguez P. 20. Saucedo F. 6. Villarroel M. 16. Villarroel M.	20. Baldomar O. 2. Fernandez K. 28. Guerra J. 11. Hurtado Badani L. E. 23. Orihuela R. 5. Reyes J. 4. Rodriguez L. 22. Rojas J. (G) 30. Zenteno Rojas A.
Coaches
San Jose B.	Brizuela C.

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 5 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bolívar won 1.

Recent matches Bolívar is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Palmaflor is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Palmaflor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bolívar is indisputable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Bolívar won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Bolívar won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolívar La Paz
Copa Libertadores
23.05.23	Bolívar - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
14.05.23	Independiente Petroleros - Bolívar	2:1 ✺
08.05.23	Bolívar - Universitario de Vinto	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
03.05.23	Cerro Porteño - Bolívar	0:4 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
30.04.23	Nacional Potosí - Bolívar	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WLTWL
- Vinto Atlético Palmaflor
Bolivian Division Profesional
21.05.23	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Independiente Petroleros	0:1 ✺
12.05.23	Universitario de Vinto - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	0:1 ✺
07.05.23	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Nacional Potosí	0:1 ✺
30.04.23	Jorge Wilstermann - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	4:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
25.04.23	The Strongest - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
07.10.22	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Bolívar	1:1
28.07.22	Bolívar - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	2:2
01.12.21	Bolívar - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	3:1
03.08.21	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Bolívar	2:2
01.12.20	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Bolívar	1:0
22.01.20	Bolívar - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	3:1

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