Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 17

Date: 21 December 2022, Wednesday


	Folgore Caratese		Caronnese

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.3	4
	1.78	3.25	4.25
	1.76	3.24	4.23
	1.78	3	4.33
	1.77	3.35	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.73)	3.23 ↓ (3.4)	4.21 ↑ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folgore Caratese
50.8%

Draw
27.9%

Caronnese
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

26.4%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

25.7%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folgore Caratese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Caronnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caronnese than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Folgore Caratese - Caronnese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Folgore Caratese won 1.

The competitors look crappy now.

Folgore Caratese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Folgore Caratese is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Folgore Caratese won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Folgore Caratese won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
18.12.22	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Folgore Caratese	2:1 ✺
11.12.22	Folgore Caratese - Varese	1:2 ✺
04.12.22	Arconatese - Folgore Caratese	1:1 ✺
27.11.22	Folgore Caratese - Brusaporto	1:2 ✺
20.11.22	Breno - Folgore Caratese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTLW
- SC Caronnese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
17.12.22	Caronnese - Lumezzane	1:3 ✺
11.12.22	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Caronnese	0:0 ✺
04.12.22	Varese - Caronnese	2:1 ✺
27.11.22	Caronnese - Sona	2:1 ✺
20.11.22	Arconatese - Caronnese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
28.03.21	Caronnese - Folgore Caratese	0:1
06.12.20	Folgore Caratese - Caronnese	2:3
21.01.18	Folgore Caratese - Caronnese	1:1
17.09.17	Caronnese - Folgore Caratese	3:2
29.01.17	Folgore Caratese - Caronnese	1:1
25.09.16	Caronnese - Folgore Caratese	2:2

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