Match Info

Date: 27 February 2021, Saturday


	Virtus Entella		Brescia

	1	X	2
	2.87	3	2.6	Watch
	2.8	2.95	2.75
	2.95	2.9	2.65	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.5
	3.03	3.02	2.73
	2.62	3	2.75
	2.89	3.13	2.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.77)	2.99 ↓ (3.02)	2.66 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Entella
32.9%

Draw
31.6%

Brescia
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

31.2%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

22%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Entella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Virtus Entella that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brescia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Virtus Entella - Brescia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Virtus Entella has a good chance of relegated (91%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Brescia has a chance of relegated (20%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Virtus Entella has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Brescia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Virtus Entella won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Virtus Entella won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B
20.02.21	Venezia - Virtus Entella	3:2 ✺
14.02.21	Virtus Entella - Frosinone	2:3 ✺
10.02.21	Reggina - Virtus Entella	1:0 ✺
07.02.21	Reggiana - Virtus Entella	2:1 ✺
30.01.21	Virtus Entella - Nuova Cosenza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
20.02.21	Brescia - Cremonese	1:2 ✺
14.02.21	Brescia - Chievo	1:0 ✺
09.02.21	Lecce - Brescia	2:2 ✺
06.02.21	Brescia - Cittadella	3:3 ✺
30.01.21	Ascoli - Brescia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
31.10.20	Brescia - Virtus Entella	2:2
03.04.18	Brescia - Virtus Entella	0:0
08.10.17	Virtus Entella - Brescia	3:0
01.04.17	Brescia - Virtus Entella	2:2
29.10.16	Virtus Entella - Brescia	4:0
19.04.16	Brescia - Virtus Entella	2:0
04.12.15	Virtus Entella - Brescia	0:0

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