Match Info

Date: 14 February 2021, Sunday


	Brescia		Chievo

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.3	2.2	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.35
	3.15	3.2	2.3	Watch
	3.1	3.05	2.29
	3.3	3.38	2.33
	3.2	3.1	2.35
	3.3	3.08	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (3.04)	3.19 ↑ (3.12)	2.31 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brescia
29.5%

Draw
29.6%

Chievo
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

30.2%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

22.7%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Chievo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brescia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chievo than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chievo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	45.8%	37.5%

Brescia - Chievo Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Brescia will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). Chievo will win (votes: 9 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 45.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.9% – 65.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Semitofinals)).

Brescia has a chance of relegated (19%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (8%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Chievo has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (64%), has a chance of promoted (39%), has a small chance of win league (12%).

Brescia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Chievo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chievo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Chievo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Brescia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
09.02.21	Lecce - Brescia	2:2 ✺
06.02.21	Brescia - Cittadella	3:3 ✺
30.01.21	Ascoli - Brescia	2:1 ✺
25.01.21	Brescia - Monza	0:1 ✺
16.01.21	Pisa - Brescia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTLLL
- AC Chievo
Italian Serie B
10.02.21	Chievo - Reggiana	1:0 ✺
06.02.21	Salernitana - Chievo	1:1 ✺
31.01.21	Chievo - Pescara	3:1 ✺
27.01.21	Chievo - Cittadella	2:1 ✺
23.01.21	Ascoli - Chievo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
20.10.20	Chievo - Brescia	1:0
Club Friendly
29.07.15	Chievo - Brescia	1:0

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