Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giovanni Paolo II (Francavilla Fontana)


	Virtus Francavilla		Pompei

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.35	2.78
	1.73	3.47	3.81
	1.76	3.69	3.93	Watch
	1.75	3.2	4
	1.75	3.45	4.18
	1.8	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.21)	3.43 ↑ (3.4)	3.78 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Francavilla
49.5%

Draw
26.5%

Pompei
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

26.7%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

25.6%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Virtus Francavilla's performance.

Pompei has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pompei might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Virtus Francavilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pompei than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pompei could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Virtus Francavilla - Pompei Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 🟥,
90+4', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Virtus Francavilla is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pompei has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pompei may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Virtus Francavilla will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
07.12.25	Francavilla - Virtus Francavilla	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Fidelis Andria - Virtus Francavilla	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Virtus Francavilla - Afragolese	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Nardo - Virtus Francavilla	3:0 ✺
09.11.25	Virtus Francavilla - Acerrana	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWTLW
- FC Pompei
Italian Serie D - Group H
07.12.25	Pompei - Acerrana	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Heraclea - Pompei	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Pompei - Nardo	2:3 ✺
16.11.25	Città di Fasano - Pompei	2:3 ✺
09.11.25	Pompei - Nola	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TWLWL

Virtus Francavilla - Pompei: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide