Match Info

Date: 4 December 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Virtus Matino		Mariglianese

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.85	2.9
	2.3	3	2.9
	2.35	2.85	2.8
	2.35	2.84	2.88
	2.42	2.85	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.65)	2.88 ↓ (3)	2.91 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Matino
38.1%

Draw
31.1%

Mariglianese
30.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.2%

30.2%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

22%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Matino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Mariglianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Matino than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Virtus Matino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariglianese than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mariglianese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Virtus Matino - Mariglianese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Virtus Matino has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Mariglianese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Matino
Italian Serie D - Group H
28.11.21	Virtus Matino - Audace Cerignola	0:2 ✺
21.11.21	Lavello - Virtus Matino	1:0 ✺
14.11.21	Virtus Matino - Nardo	0:1 ✺
07.11.21	Casertana - Virtus Matino	2:0 ✺
31.10.21	Virtus Matino - Bisceglie	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- US Mariglianese
Italian Serie D - Group H
28.11.21	Mariglianese - Casertana	4:1 ✺
21.11.21	Audace Cerignola - Mariglianese	4:0 ✺
14.11.21	Mariglianese - Gravina	1:2 ✺
07.11.21	Nardo - Mariglianese	2:1 ✺
31.10.21	Mariglianese - Casarano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLLLW

Virtus Matino - Mariglianese

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Virtus Matino - Mariglianese Predictions

Preview

Form

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