Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 25

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini (Verona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport Arena


	Virtus Verona		Padova

	1	X	2
	6.25	3.7	1.46
	6	3.75	1.47
	6.78	3.92	1.51
	6.76	3.88	1.52	Watch
	7	3.6	1.44
	6.66	3.85	1.45	Watch
	6	3.75	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.49 ↑ (6.23)	3.78 ↑ (3.58)	1.47 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Verona
14%

Draw
24.1%

Padova
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

25.4%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5%

25.2%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Verona than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Virtus Verona - Padova Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Padova will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Sibi S. (G) 2. Catena E. M. 6. Daffara M. 14. De Marchi M. 74. Lerco S. 11. Manfrin G. 5. Mehic D. 8. Metlika A. 44. Pagliuca M. 32. Rispoli F. 23. Toffanin F.	1. Fortin M. (G) 6. Crisetig L. 2. Delli Carri F. 8. Fusi P. 26. Kirwan N. 21. Liguori M. 5. Perrotta M. 31. Pirrello R. 10. Russini S. 9. Spagnoli A. 14. Villa L.
Substitutes
55. Alfonso E. (G) 16. Bassi M. 99. Caia F. 75. Cielo T. 9. Contini G. 47. Cuel E. 96. Fabbro 25. Filippi N. 12. Fortin G. (G) 30. Gatti C. 21. Gomez J. 4. Lodovici R. 90. Odogwu C. 34. Ronco D.	33. Bensi N. (G) 15. Bianchi N. 20. Bortolussi M. 17. Capelli A. 11. Cretella C. 30. Favale G. 23. Granata A. 16. Sala A. (G) 19. Valente N. 7. Varas K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Mehic D. ⚽,
30', Catena E. M. 🟨,
35', Russini S. 🟨,
44', Fusi P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Pagliuca M. ↓, Contini G. ↑,
59', Russini S. ↓, Valente N. ↑,
59', Pirrello R. ↓, Capelli A. ↑,
61', Rispoli F. ↓, Caia F. ↑,
62', Metlika A. ↓, Gatti C. ↑,
72', Perrotta M. ↓, Bortolussi M. ↑,
77', Fusi P. ↓, Cretella C. ↑,
78', Villa L. ↓, Favale G. ↑,
82', De Marchi M. ↓, Fabbro M. ↑,
83', Lerco S. ↓, Bassi M. ↑,
90+7', Delli Carri F. 🟨,
90+8', Fabbro M. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Virtus Verona won 1.

Recent matches Virtus Verona is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Padova is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Padova is certain favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Virtus Verona won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9:18 (average 0.7:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Virtus Verona won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.6:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Verona
Italian Serie C Group A
25.01.25	Renate - Virtus Verona	0:3 ✺
18.01.25	Virtus Verona - FeralpiSalò	1:3 ✺
11.01.25	Novara - Virtus Verona	3:0 ✺
04.01.25	Virtus Verona - Alcione	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	Lumezzane - Virtus Verona	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLLWW
- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group A
25.01.25	Padova - Pro Vercelli	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Alcione - Padova	0:2 ✺
12.01.25	Padova - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:1 ✺
05.01.25	Padova - Caldiero Terme	1:0 ✺
22.12.24	Trento - Padova	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
24.09.24	Padova - Virtus Verona	4:1
04.02.24	Virtus Verona - Padova	1:1
24.09.23	Padova - Virtus Verona	2:0
14.05.23	Padova - Virtus Verona	0:1
11.02.23	Virtus Verona - Padova	1:1
16.10.22	Padova - Virtus Verona	0:0
24.04.22	Padova - Virtus Verona	1:2

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