Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 37

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini (Verona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Virtus Verona		Alcione

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.62	3.15	2.58	Watch
	2.67	3.2	2.79
	2.59	3.11	2.63	Watch
	2.5	2.8	2.63
	2.56	2.93	2.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.58)	3.04 ↓ (3.3)	2.65 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Verona
35.4%

Draw
30.1%

Alcione
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

27.9%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

26.5%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Verona than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Virtus Verona - Alcione Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Sibi S. (G) 95. Munaretti L. 38. Ingrosso G. 23. Toffanin F. 6. Daffara M. 28. Patane N. 75. Bassi M. 5. Fanini F. 7. Amadio M. 18. Cernigoi I. 99. Fabbro M.	22. Agazzi F. (G) 7. Renault G. 25. Pirola F. 6. Ciappellano D. 65. Giorgeschi S. 18. Lopes E. 23. Galli G. 8. Muroni M. 11. Morselli F. 10. Pitou J. 31. Marconi M.
Substitutes
2. Alfonso E. (G) 8. Caia F. 47. Cuel E. 70. Devoti A. 14. Di Virgilio M. 85. Fiori N. 20. Fiorin G. 54. Fugaro M. 30. Gatti C. 74. Lerco S. 39. Mancini T. 11. Mastour H. 44. Pagliuca M. 12. Scardigno N. (G) 36. Sebastiani G.	70. Bright K. 81. Gallazzi F. 16. Lanzi J. 27. Lione M. 5. Miculi A. 21. Olivieri D. 9. Plescia V. 1. Raffaelli F. (G) 17. Rebaudo R. 32. Tordini M. 30. Zamparo L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Patane N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Amadio M. ↓, Mastour H. ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Morselli F. ⚽,
58', Sibi S. 🟨,
58', 🟨,
63', Fabbro M. ↓, Pagliuca M. ↑,
70', Toffanin F. ↓, Lerco S. ↑,
70', Galli G. ↓, Olivieri D. ↑,
70', Ciappellano D. ↓, Miculi A. ↑,
76', Marconi M. ↓, Plescia V. ↑,
76', Morselli F. ↓, Zamparo L. ↑,
78', Fanini F. ↓, Caia F. ↑,
78', Munaretti L. ↓, Gatti C. ↑,
84', Pitou J. ↓, Bright K. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Virtus Verona is Serie C ~ Play Out

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Alcione may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Virtus Verona won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).

Including home match between the teams, Virtus Verona won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Alcione Milano	8	2	5	1	12:13	-1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Virtus Verona - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.64%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Verona
Italian Serie C Group A
11.04.26	Pergolettese - Virtus Verona	2:2 ✺
06.04.26	Virtus Verona - Ospitaletto	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Triestina - Virtus Verona	5:0 ✺
20.03.26	Virtus Verona - AlbinoLeffe	1:3 ✺
15.03.26	Virtus Verona - Renate	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TTLLT
- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie C Group A
10.04.26	Alcione - Lecco	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Trento - Alcione	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Alcione - Pro Vercelli	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Novara - Alcione	3:0 ✺
13.03.26	Alcione - Brescia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
13.12.25	Alcione - Virtus Verona	0:1
04.01.25	Virtus Verona - Alcione	1:0
30.08.24	Alcione - Virtus Verona	0:0

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