Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 2

Date: 2 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Noevir Stadium (Kobe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports Asian Cup 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Germany	Sport 1+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro SuperSport 1, Astro SuperSport, Sooka
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	TV Start Triumph
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-korea	Tving
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Disney+, Onefootball app, Sport 1 Baltic, Triller TV+


	Vissel Kobe		Shandong Taishan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.28	5.75	9.25
	1.25	5.5	11
	1.28	5.88	9.43
	1.28	5.8	9.1	Watch
	1.22	5.5	10	Watch
	1.28	5.9	9.9	Watch
	1.25	5.5	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.34)	5.69 ↑ (4.92)	9.95 ↑ (7.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vissel Kobe
74.1%

Draw
16.5%

Shandong Taishan
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.9%

18.7%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

17.9%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vissel Kobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vissel Kobe's performance.

Shandong Taishan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shandong Taishan than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Vissel Kobe - Shandong Taishan Predictions

Users Predictions: Vissel Kobe will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maekawa D. (G) 24. Sakai G. 4. Yamakawa T. (C) 3. Thuler 15. Honda Y. 7. Ideguchi Y. 6. Ogihara T. 14. Yuruki K. 9. Miyashiro T. 10. Osako Y. 22. Sasaki D.	14. Wang Dalei (C) 33. Gao Zhunyi 27. Shi Ke 5. Zheng Zheng 11. Liu Yang 22. LI Yuanyi 25. Peng Xinli 29. Chen Pu 20. Liao Lisheng 10. Qazaishvili V. 9. Cryzan
Substitutes
21. Arai S. (G) 19. Hatsuse R. 23. Hirose R. 18. Ide H. 2. Iino N. 55. Iwanami T. 81. Kikuchi R. 25. Kuwasaki Y. 88. Morioka R. 11. Muto Y. 50. Obi P. O. (G) 26. Patric J.	30. Abudulam Abdursul 24. Bi Jinhao 8. Delgado P. 35. Huang Zhengyu 21. Liu Binbin 26. Liu Shibo (G) 28. Mijit Mewlan 2. Tong Lei 23. Xie Wenneng 19. Zeca 13. Zhang Chi 31. Zhao Jianfei
Coaches
Yoshida T.	Choi Kang-Hee

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', Cryzan 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Miyashiro T. ⚽, Ogihara T. (A),
27', Peng Xinli ↓, Huang Zhengyu ↑,
28', 1 - 1, Cryzan ⚽, Liao Lisheng (A),
41', Qazaishvili V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 2 - 1, Sakai G. ⚽,
57', Yuruki K. ↓, Muto Y. ↑,
62', Chen Pu ↓, Zhang Chi ↑,
62', Shi Ke ↓, Zeca ↑,
64', Liao Lisheng 🟨,
75', Liao Lisheng ↓, Xie Wenneng ↑,
76', Sasaki D. ↓, Hirose R. ↑,
84', Zhang Chi 🟨,
85', Ogihara T. ↓, Kuwasaki Y. ↑,
85', Miyashiro T. ↓, Patric J. ↑,
85', Honda Y. ↓, Hatsuse R. ↑,
90+6', Choi Kang-Hee 🟥,
90+9', Gao Zhunyi 🟨,
90+11', Thuler 🟨,

Preview

Vissel Kobe in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Shandong Taishan is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shandong Taishan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Shandong Taishan have a series of home games.

In this match Vissel Kobe is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Vissel Kobe to win the game is with odds 1.35.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vissel Kobe
Japan J1 League
28.09.24	Vissel Kobe - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
25.09.24	Kashima Antlers - Vissel Kobe	0:3 ✺
Japan J1 League
22.09.24	Albirex Niigata - Vissel Kobe	2:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
17.09.24	Buriram United - Vissel Kobe	0:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
13.09.24	Vissel Kobe - Cerezo Osaka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWTW
- Shandong Taishan
Chinese Super League
28.09.24	Shenzhen Peng City - Shandong Taishan	1:4 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
24.09.24	Shandong Taishan - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:0 ✺
Chinese Super League
21.09.24	Shandong Taishan - Wuhan Three Towns	0:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
17.09.24	Shandong Taishan - Central Coast Mariners	3:1 ✺
Chinese Super League
13.09.24	Shandong Taishan - Qingdao West Coast	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWTWL

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