Match Info

J1 League - Round 35

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Denka Big Swan Stadium (Niigata)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto


	Albirex Niigata		Vissel Kobe

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.8	1.62	Watch
	4.55	3.65	1.7	Watch
	5.28	3.95	1.65
	5.14	3.86	1.65	Watch
	5.1	3.88	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.96 ↓ (5.14)	3.83 ↓ (3.86)	1.66 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albirex Niigata
18.9%

Draw
24.5%

Vissel Kobe
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

24.4%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

24%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Albirex Niigata - Vissel Kobe Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Albirex Niigata (1.83) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Albirex Niigata (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Albirex Niigata (3.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Vissel Kobe will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vissel Kobe will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Albirex Niigata (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Vissel Kobe (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Tashiro R. (G) 25. Fujiwara S. 2. Geria J. 15. Hayakawa F. 42. Hashimoto K. 28. Shimamura T. 8. Shirai E. 41. Hasegawa M. 7. Taniguchi K. 65. Boudah A. 30. Okumura J.	1. Maekawa D. (G) 2. Iino N. 4. Yamakawa T. 3. Thuler 41. Nagato K. 6. Ogihara T. 25. Kuwasaki Y. 18. Ide H. 11. Muto Y. 10. Osako Y. 9. Miyashiro T.
Substitutes
35. Chiba K. 5. Fitzgerald M. 1. Fujita K. (G) 31. Horigome Y. 55. Moraes 99. Ono Y. 33. Takagi Y. 50. Uemura H. 18. Wakatsuki Y.	77. Gustavo Klismahn 23. Hirose R. 15. Honda Y. 7. Ideguchi Y. 31. Iwanami T. 26. Jean Patric 50. Obi P. O. (G) 13. Sasaki D. 14. Yuruki K.
Coaches
Irie T.	Yoshida T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+3', 0 - 1, Osako Y. ⚽, Miyashiro T. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Ide H. ↓, Sasaki D. ↑,
48', Shimamura T. 🟨,
51', Fujiwara S. 🟨,
52', 0 - 2, Osako Y. (Pen),
62', Boudah A. ↓, Moraes ↑,
63', Iino N. ↓, Hirose R. ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Shimamura T. ⚽, Moraes (A),
75', Kuwasaki Y. ↓, Ideguchi Y. ↑,
75', Taniguchi K. ↓, Wakatsuki Y. ↑,
75', Hashimoto K. ↓, Horigome Y. ↑,
76', Okumura J. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,
81', Miyashiro T. ↓, Yuruki K. ↑,
81', Nagato K. ↓, Honda Y. ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Wakatsuki Y. ⚽, Hasegawa M. (A),
90+5', Ogihara T. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 1.

Niigata is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Vissel Kobe has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vissel Kobe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Vissel Kobe is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes (Knee Injury) Hoshi Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Vissel Kobe: Arai S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Vissel Kobe: Erik (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.8:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Vissel Kobe - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 57.19%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albirex Niigata
Japan J1 League
18.10.25	Tokyo Verdy - Albirex Niigata	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Albirex Niigata - Fagiano Okayama	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Gamba Osaka - Albirex Niigata	4:2 ✺
23.09.25	Albirex Niigata - Nagoya Grampus	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Yokohama FC - Albirex Niigata	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLTL
- Vissel Kobe
AFC Champions League
22.10.25	Gangwon - Vissel Kobe	4:3 ✺
Japan J1 League
17.10.25	Vissel Kobe - Kashima Antlers	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Vissel Kobe	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
01.10.25	Vissel Kobe - Melbourne City	1:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
27.09.25	Vissel Kobe - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
06.04.25	Vissel Kobe - Albirex Niigata	0:1
22.09.24	Albirex Niigata - Vissel Kobe	2:3
06.05.24	Vissel Kobe - Albirex Niigata	3:2
07.07.23	Albirex Niigata - Vissel Kobe	0:1
09.04.23	Vissel Kobe - Albirex Niigata	0:0
30.09.17	Albirex Niigata - Vissel Kobe	0:2
Japan J League Cup
31.05.17	Albirex Niigata - Vissel Kobe	0:1

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