Match Info

Date: 3 July 2021, Saturday


	Vitória Salvador		Goiás

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.7	2.8	2.6
	2.7	2.8	2.6	Watch
	2.85	2.8	2.65
	2.98	2.95	2.78
	2.8	2.7	2.75
	2.85	2.99	2.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.58)	2.84 ↓ (2.94)	2.68 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória Salvador
32.9%

Draw
32.6%

Goiás
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

31.4%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

22%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Goiás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitória Salvador that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Goiás could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vitória Salvador - Goiás Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Vitória is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Goiás is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Goiás could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Vitória won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Vitória won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie B
30.06.21	Botafogo RJ - Vitória Salvador	1:0 ✺
26.06.21	Vitória Salvador - Londrina	1:2 ✺
22.06.21	Coritiba - Vitória Salvador	1:0 ✺
19.06.21	Vitória Salvador - Brusque	3:1 ✺
16.06.21	Remo - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLWT
- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie B
30.06.21	Goiás - Vasco da Gama	1:0 ✺
25.06.21	Vila Nova - Goiás	0:0 ✺
22.06.21	Goiás - Avaí	3:0 ✺
18.06.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Goiás	2:1 ✺
15.06.21	Goiás - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
08.10.14	Vitória Salvador - Goiás	2:2
28.05.14	Goiás - Vitória Salvador	0:0
02.10.13	Vitória Salvador - Goiás	2:1
07.07.13	Goiás - Vitória Salvador	1:0
Brazilian Serie B
22.09.12	Vitória Salvador - Goiás	3:1
23.06.12	Goiás - Vitória Salvador	4:3

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