Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 30

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday


	Goiás		Vasco da Gama

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.88	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.87
	2.55	3.25	2.8	Watch
	2.39	3.3	2.86
	2.69	3.16	2.95
	2.3	3.2	3
	2.58	3.16	2.79	Watch
	2.55	3.1	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.4)	3.18 ↑ (3.1)	2.87 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goiás
37.5%

Draw
29.6%

Vasco da Gama
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

30.3%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

30.5%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	30%	30%

Goiás - Vasco da Gama Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Goiás will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Vasco will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Goiás: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Tadeu (C) 2. Maguinho 3. Lucas Halter 19. Bruno Melo 66. Hugo 12. Willian Oliveira 40. Everton Morelli 60. Guilherme 77. Allano 45. Joao Magno 10. Palacios J.	1. Leo Jardim (G) 30. Robson Bambu 4. Maicon 3. Leo 6. Lucas Piton 17. Medel G. (C) 23. Ze Gabriel 8. Jair 7. Alex Teixeira 70. Serginho 99. Vegetti P.
Substitutes
27. Alesson 22. Apodi 11. Diego Goncalves 5. Guzzo R. 88. Marcelo Rangel (G) 9. Matheus Babi 8. Meritao H. 55. Oyama L. 95. Rodrigues Adelino dos Santos V. 6. Sander 4. Sidimar 7. Vinicius	88. Cauan Barros 9. Ferreira S. 11. Gabriel Pec 97. Ivan (G) 12. Jefferson 85. Mateus Carvalho 14. Orellano L. 96. Paulo Henrique 10. Payet D. 21. Praxedes 2. Puma Rodriguez 44. Ze Vitor
Coaches
Evangelista A.	Diaz R.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Goiás won 2.

Recent matches Goiás is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vasco is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Goiás could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Goiás: Lucas Halter (Injury)

There will not play in Vasco: Capasso M. (Injury) Erick Marcus (Red Card) Patrick de Lucca (Knee Injury) Rossi (Injury)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Goiás won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 19-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Goiás won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie A
25.10.23	Fluminense - Goiás	5:3 ✺
21.10.23	Cuiabá - Goiás	1:1 ✺
18.10.23	Goiás - São Paulo	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	Goiás - Bahia	4:6 ✺
02.10.23	Botafogo RJ - Goiás	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LTWLT
- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A
26.10.23	Vasco da Gama - Internacional RS	1:2 ✺
22.10.23	Flamengo - Vasco da Gama	1:0 ✺
18.10.23	Vasco da Gama - Fortaleza	1:0 ✺
07.10.23	Vasco da Gama - São Paulo	0:0 ✺
01.10.23	Santos - Vasco da Gama	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
22.06.23	Vasco da Gama - Goiás	0:1
Brazilian Serie B
27.09.21	Vasco da Gama - Goiás	2:0
30.06.21	Goiás - Vasco da Gama	1:0
Brazilian Serie A
25.02.21	Vasco da Gama - Goiás	3:2
01.11.20	Goiás - Vasco da Gama	1:1
Copa do Brasil
26.08.20	Goiás - Vasco da Gama	1:3 penalties
12.03.20	Vasco da Gama - Goiás	0:1

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