Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP C - ROUND 16

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday


	Vitória de Sernache		União de Tomar

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.4	4.75
	1.64	3.53	5.44
	1.61	3.55	5.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.81)	3.49 ↑ (3.29)	5.12 ↑ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória de Sernache
56.1%

Draw
26.1%

União de Tomar
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

27.9%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

25.5%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória de Sernache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitória de Sernache's performance.

União de Tomar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória de Sernache than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitória de Sernache that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União de Tomar than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that União de Tomar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

In this match Sernache is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sernache won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitória de Sernache
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
14.01.24	Alverca B - Vitória de Sernache	0:1 ✺
07.01.24	Vitória de Sernache - Mortágua	1:1 ✺
17.12.23	Vitória de Sernache - União de Santarém	0:2 ✺
10.12.23	Marinhense - Vitória de Sernache	2:1 ✺
03.12.23	Vitória de Sernache - Peniche	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTLLL
- União de Tomar
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
14.01.24	União de Tomar - União de Coimbra	2:1 ✺
07.01.24	SC Lusitânia - União de Tomar	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	Rabo de Peixe - União de Tomar	4:2 ✺
10.12.23	União de Tomar - Fontinhas	0:1 ✺
03.12.23	Sertanense - União de Tomar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
03.09.23	União de Tomar - Vitória de Sernache	1:0

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