The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Giugliano 28.4%
Draw 28.5%
Crotone 43.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.5%
27.3%
49.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.8%
26.5%
50.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Giugliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crotone might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giugliano than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Giugliano that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crotone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Giugliano - Crotone Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Giugliano will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Crotone will win (votes: 3 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
77. Greco S. (G) 32. Balde I. 6. Broh J. 24. Caldore M. 20. Cester S. 70. D'Agostino G. 15. D'Avino L. 8. De Rosa R. 31. Murilo 14. Vaglica G. 4. Zammarini R.
1. Merelli D. (G) 13. Armini N. 72. Cocetta N. 11. Energe A. 16. Gallo A. 9. Gomez G. 25. Guerra W. 35. Novella M. 21. Sandri M. 7. Vinicius 96. Zunno M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Guerra W. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zunno M. ↓, Maggio M. ↑,
46', Broh J. ↓, Ogunseye R. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Ogunseye R. ⚽,
67', Ogunseye R. 🟨,
67', Gomez G. ↓, Musso A. ↑,
67', Energe A. ↓, Piovanello E. ↑,
73', Balde I. ↓, La Vardera S. ↑,
79', Novella M. ↓, Bruno K. ↑,
79', Guerra W. ↓, Groppelli F. ↑,
90', Murilo ↓, Isaac Prado ↑,
90+3', D'Agostino G. ↓, Pedro Justiniano ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Giugliano won 1.
In recent matches, Giugliano has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Crotone is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Crotone is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Giugliano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.4:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Giugliano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1.3:2.7).