Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 38

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Viterbese		Virtus Francavilla

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.1	2.2
	3.05	3.2	2.1
	2.74	3.17	2.2
	2.55	3	2.6
	2.9	3.28	2.29	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.12)	3.17 ↓ (3.2)	2.27 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viterbese
31.8%

Draw
28.5%

Virtus Francavilla
39.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.9%

28.4%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

24.4%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viterbese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Viterbese's form might have worsened.

Virtus Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Virtus Francavilla's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viterbese than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Virtus Francavilla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Viterbese - Virtus Francavilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Virtus Francavilla will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Viterbese won 1.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Viterbese won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Viterbese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viterbese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
16.04.23	Turris - Viterbese	2:1 ✺
08.04.23	Viterbese - Nuova Monterosi	0:1 ✺
02.04.23	Gelbison Cilento - Viterbese	0:1 ✺
25.03.23	Viterbese - Audace Cerignola	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Crotone - Viterbese	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWTL
- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
16.04.23	Virtus Francavilla - Picerno	0:1 ✺
08.04.23	Virtus Francavilla - Catanzaro	2:4 ✺
02.04.23	Pescara - Virtus Francavilla	4:1 ✺
26.03.23	Virtus Francavilla - Monopoli	2:0 ✺
19.03.23	Taranto - Virtus Francavilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
18.12.22	Virtus Francavilla - Viterbese	2:1
18.04.21	Virtus Francavilla - Viterbese	0:0
23.12.20	Viterbese - Virtus Francavilla	2:2
15.12.19	Viterbese - Virtus Francavilla	2:1
20.03.19	Virtus Francavilla - Viterbese	0:0
13.02.19	Viterbese - Virtus Francavilla	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Coppa Italia Serie D
28.10.26	Fidelis Andria - Virtus Francavilla	✺

Viterbese - Virtus Francavilla