Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 March 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio D. Afonso Henriques (Guimarães) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 6, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Variety 2
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Sport Austria 8
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 2
Canada	16:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	17:00	Disney+
China	04:00	iQIYI
Colombia	15:00	Disney+
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 11
Greece	22:00	ANT 1+
Hungary	21:00	Sport 2
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
India	01:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	14:00	Claro Sports
Montenegro	21:00	Arena Sport 4
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	21:00	SuperSport Football Plus
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV5
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 4
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport Variety 2
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 3
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 14, Blue Sport 14, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Turkey	23:00	Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Sport
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 7
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	16:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus
International	20:00	Disney+, VIX App


	Vitoria Guimarães		Betis

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.35
	2.9	3.1	2.3
	3.1	3.1	2.4
	3.3	3.21	2.42
	3.22	3.18	2.35	Watch
	3.3	3.2	2.38
	3.1	3.1	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.3)	3.16 ↓ (3.7)	2.37 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitoria Guimarães
30.1%

Draw
30%

Betis
39.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.2%

26.1%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

28%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Betis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Betis than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	33.3%	56.7%

Vitoria Guimarães - Betis Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Guimarães will win (votes: 3 - 10%). Betis will win (votes: 17 - 56.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Betis: 39% – 74.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Varela B. (C) 22. Hevertton S. 24. Borevkovic T. 3. Villanueva M. 13. Mendes J. 10. Tiago Silva 8. Handel T. 17. Mendes J. 11. Embalo U. 7. Oliveira N. 77. Santos N.	25. Vieites F. (G) 24. Ruibal A. 5. Bartra M. 3. Llorente D. 12. Rodriguez R. 18. Fornals P. 22. Isco (C) 16. Altimira S. 7. Antony 11. Bakambu C. 36. Rodriguez J.
Substitutes
18. Arcanjo T. 16. Beni 27. Charles Silva (G) 86. Dieu M. 98. Duarte R. 91. Jose Ribeiro (G) 2. Miguel Maga 9. Ramirez J. 93. Rika 15. Rivas Viondi O. 20. Samu 92. Sousa D.	13. Adrian (G) 2. Bellerin H. 10. Ezzalzouli A. 46. Flores M. 30. Garcia G. (G) 52. Garcia P. 6. Natan 15. Perraud R. 23. Sabaly Y.
Coaches
Freire L.	Pellegrini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Bakambu C. ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, Bakambu C. ⚽, Ruibal A. (A),
41', Altimira S. 🟨,
43', Embalo U. 🟨,
45+1', Llorente D. 🟨,
45+1', Oliveira N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Embalo U. ↓, Arcanjo T. ↑,
46', Hevertton S. ↓, Miguel Maga ↑,
49', Tiago Silva 🟨,
56', Freire L. 🟨,
58', 0 - 3, Antony ⚽, Isco (A),
59', Rodriguez J. ↓, Ezzalzouli A. ↑,
60', Mendes J. ↓, Samu ↑,
70', Mendes J. 🟨,
73', Altimira S. ↓, Natan ↑,
73', Handel T. ↓, Beni ↑,
76', Oliveira N. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
78', Miguel Maga 🟨,
80', 0 - 4, Isco ⚽, Antony (A),
81', Isco ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
81', Bakambu C. ↓, Flores M. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-2.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Recently Betis have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Guimarães: Gustavo Silva (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Betis: Avila C. (Yellow Cards) Lo Celso G. (Muscle Injury) Roca M. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Guimarães: Gaspar B. (Muscle Injury) Ramirez J. (Inactive)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Guimarães won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Guimarães won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal
09.03.25	Boavista - Vitoria Guimarães	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.03.25	Betis - Vitoria Guimarães	2:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
01.03.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Casa Pia	1:0 ✺
24.02.25	Porto - Vitoria Guimarães	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Braga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WTWTT
- Real Betis
Spanish LaLiga
09.03.25	Betis - Las Palmas	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.03.25	Betis - Vitoria Guimarães	2:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
01.03.25	Betis - Real Madrid	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Getafe - Betis	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.02.25	Betis - Gent	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
06.03.25	Betis - Vitoria Guimarães	2:2
UEFA Europa League
07.11.13	Vitoria Guimarães - Betis	0:1
24.10.13	Betis - Vitoria Guimarães	1:0

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