Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 7 November 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio D. Afonso Henriques (Guimarães) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Czech Republic	21:00	Sport 2
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 17
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 16
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
International	20:00	Disney+


	Vitoria Guimarães		Mladá Boleslav

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.25	12
	1.25	5.5	9.75
	1.25	5.5	12
	1.26	5.69	11.55
	1.26	5.7	10.3	Watch
	1.25	5.5	8.5
	1.29	5.32	12.2
	1.25	5.5	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.4)	5.5 ↑ (4.3)	11.04 ↑ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitoria Guimarães
74.4%

Draw
17.1%

Mladá Boleslav
8.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.9%

21.1%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

19.5%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitoria Guimarães's performance.

Mladá Boleslav has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mladá Boleslav might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitoria Guimarães that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	13.3%	3.3%

Vitoria Guimarães - Mladá Boleslav Predictions

Users Predictions: Vitoria Guimarães will win (25 of 30 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.99% – 96.67%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Varela B. (C) 76. Gaspar B. 15. Rivas Viondi O. 24. Borevkovic T. 13. Mendes J. 10. Tiago Silva 6. Manu 17. Mendes J. 11. Kaio Cesar 9. Ramirez J. 18. Arcanjo T.	29. Trmal M. (G) 14. Kral T. 17. Suchy M. (C) 3. Kralik M. 31. Kostka D. 5. Sakala B. 66. Vydra P. 10. Ladra T. 11. Fulnek J. 23. Kusej V. 30. Marecek D.
Substitutes
79. Bica 27. Charles Silva (G) 22. Costa A. 71. Gustavo 8. Handel T. 91. Jose Ribeiro (G) 2. Miguel Maga 7. Oliveira N. 4. Ribeiro T. 20. Samu 77. Santos N. 28. Ze Carlos	20. Buryan J. 13. Donat D. 59. Floder J. (G) 32. Jawo L. 6. Langhamer D. 8. Matejovsky M. 99. Mikulec P. (G) 15. Penner N. 18. Pulkrab M. 12. Stransky V. 9. Vojta M. 7. Zitny P.
Coaches
Borges R.	Brannstrom A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Tiago Silva (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Marecek D. ↓, Vojta M. ↑,
59', 2 - 0, Rivas Viondi O. ⚽, Manu (A),
64', Kaio Cesar ↓, Gustavo ↑,
64', Tiago Silva ↓, Handel T. ↑,
65', Varela B. 🟨,
68', Sakala B. ↓, Langhamer D. ↑,
71', Arcanjo T. ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Kusej V. ⚽, Kralik M. (A),
74', Kral T. ↓, Stransky V. ↑,
77', Vojta M. 🟨,
85', Mendes J. ↓, Santos N. ↑,
85', Ramirez J. ↓, Oliveira N. ↑,
85', Suchy M. ↓, Pulkrab M. ↑,

Preview

Guimarães is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Mladá Boleslav is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guimarães could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Guimarães have a series of guest games.

In this match Guimarães is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Mladá Boleslav: Kozel D. (Injury) Masek L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Guimarães: Fernandes J. (Shoulder Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal
03.11.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Moreirense	1:0 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
31.10.24	Braga - Vitoria Guimarães	2:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
27.10.24	Estrela da Amadora - Vitoria Guimarães	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.10.24	Djurgården - Vitoria Guimarães	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.24	Paços de Ferreira - Vitoria Guimarães	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLTWW
- FK Mladá Boleslav
Czech 1 Liga
02.11.24	Dukla Prague - Mladá Boleslav	0:1 ✺
Czech Cup
30.10.24	Spartak Police Nad Metuji - Mladá Boleslav	1:3 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
27.10.24	Mladá Boleslav - Karviná	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.10.24	Mladá Boleslav - Lugano	0:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
20.10.24	Bohemians 1905 - Mladá Boleslav	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWTLT

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