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Current Win Probability
Vitoria Guimarães 65.1%
Draw 22.2%
Moreirense 12.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.1%
25.2%
17.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58%
24.8%
17.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitoria Guimarães's performance.
Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitoria Guimarães that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
70%
20%
10%
Vitoria Guimarães - Moreirense Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Guimarães will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Moreirense will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 41.6% – 98.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
48. Zych O. (G) 23. Strata T. 21. Borevkovic T. 28. Thiago Balieiro 13. Mendes J. (C) 8. Nogueira G. 44. Doucet L. 11. Gustavo 10. Alanzinho 7. Camara O. 9. Jakupovic A.
13. Ferreira A. (G) 76. Pinto D. (C) 66. Batista G. 26. Maracas 27. Kiko 23. John N. 65. Guilherme Liberato 10. Bondoso K. 7. Mendonca M. 19. Andrade T. 79. Vonic L.
Substitutes
19. Andersson V. 22. Castillo J. (G) 82. Dias F. 2. Maga 6. Mitrovic M. 16. Mukendi B. 17. Nogueira M. 29. Ouotro P. 4. Rivas Viondi O. 20. Samu 5. Sidibe A. 56. Verdi S.
1. Aranha (G) 9. Duville-Parsemain A. 32. Janderson 4. Kevyn Monteiro 11. Landerson 17. Martinez A. 21. Rodri 12. Sampaio F. (G) 2. Santos L. 28. Songa C. 8. Stjepanovic M. 99. Yan Maranhao
Coaches
Margarido T.
Costa V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Gustavo ↓, Nogueira M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, Andrade T. ⚽, Vonic L. (A),
57', Doucet L. ↓, Samu ↑,
57', Alanzinho ↓, Mukendi B. ↑,
57', Nogueira G. ↓, Mitrovic M. ↑,
63', Vonic L. ↓, Yan Maranhao ↑,
63', Kiko ↓, Songa C. ↑,
66', Andrade T. ↓, Rodri ↑,
67', Mendonca M. ↓, Landerson ↑,
72', Camara O. ↓, Andersson V. ↑,
89', John N. ↓, Kevyn Monteiro ↑,
90+6', 1 - 1, Borevkovic T. ⚽,
Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14th and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 3.
Recent results have been tough for Guimarães (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Moreirense have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Moreirense may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Guimarães holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Guimarães has recorded 10 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:19 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Guimarães against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 11:2 goals (averaging 1.1:0.2 per game).
Brazil
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Zych O. (G) 
Strata T. 
Borevkovic T. 
Thiago Balieiro 
Mendes J. (C) 
Doucet L. 
Camara O. 
Jakupovic A. 
Batista G. 
John N. 
Andersson V. 
Castillo J. (G) 
Mitrovic M. 
Mukendi B. 
Ouotro P. 
Rivas Viondi O. 
Duville-Parsemain A. 
Songa C. 
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