The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vitoria Guimarães 68.2%
Draw 20.8%
Boavista 11%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.2%
23.7%
19.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.5%
22.4%
18.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitoria Guimarães's performance.
Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boavista might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitoria Guimarães that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boavista could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
94.4%
2.8%
2.8%
Vitoria Guimarães - Boavista Predictions
Users Predictions:
Vitoria Guimarães will win
(34 of 36 users predict this - 94.44%). Confidence interval (95%): 86.95% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
14. Varela B. (C) 76. Gaspar B. 24. Borevkovic T. 3. Villanueva M. 13. Mendes J. 10. Tiago Silva 8. Handel T. 20. Samu 11. Kaio Cesar 7. Oliveira N. 71. Gustavo
1. Cesar (G) 15. Gomes P. 26. Abascal R. 20. Ferreira F. 70. Onyemaechi B. 16. Silva J. 24. Perez S. (C) 2. Camara I. 18. Vukotic I. 7. Agra S. 9. Bozenik R.
Substitutes
18. Arcanjo T. 27. Charles Silva (G) 22. Costa A. 6. Manu 17. Mendes J. 9. Ramirez J. 4. Ribeiro T. 77. Santos N. 28. Ze Carlos
71. Barros J. 25. Dabo A. 23. Machado T. 73. Marques A. 35. Miguel G. 10. Reisinho M. 88. Ribeiro M. 75. Silva T. 76. Sousa T. (G)
Coaches
Borges R.
Bacci C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Villanueva M. 🟨,
11', Onyemaechi B. 🟨,
26', Cesar 🟨,
31', Gustavo 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Gustavo ⚽,
45+7', Silva J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 2 - 0, Gustavo ⚽, Oliveira N. (A),
51', Camara I. ↓, Reisinho M. ↑,
63', Samu ↓, Santos N. ↑,
69', Handel T. 🟨,
70', Reisinho M. 🟨,
71', Oliveira N. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
71', Gustavo ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
87', Perez S. ↓, Ribeiro M. ↑,
87', Tiago Silva ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
87', Handel T. ↓, Manu ↑,
90+1', Abascal R. 🟨,
90+4', Varela B. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 1, Reisinho M. (Pen),
90+6', Ferreira F. ↓, Machado T. ↑,
90+15', 2 - 2, Reisinho M. (Pen),
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 and 15).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Guimarães won 2.
Guimarães is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Boavista is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Guimarães is certain favorite.
There will not play in Guimarães: Fernandes J.
(Injury)
There will not play in Boavista: Abascal R.
(Muscle Injury)
Joao Goncalves
(Knee Injury)
Moraes Pires L. H.
(Knee Injury)
Reisinho M.
(Shoulder Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Guimarães won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1.3:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Guimarães won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.8:1).
Africa
Angola
Finland
Greece
Portugal
Romania
Ukraine
World
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Varela B. (C) 
Gaspar B. 
Borevkovic T. 
Villanueva M. 
Mendes J. 
Kaio Cesar 
Abascal R. 
Onyemaechi B. 
Perez S. (C) 
Camara I. 
Vukotic I. 
Bozenik R. 
Bacci C. 
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