Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 15

Date: 5 January 2024, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Fafe		Felgueiras

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.4	2.05	Watch
	2.95	3.5	2.1
	3.09	3.67	2.23
	3.09	3.67	2.23
	2.2	3.2	2.62
	2.92	3.45	2.17
	2.75	3.55	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (3.45)	3.49 ↓ (3.9)	2.23 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fafe
32.4%

Draw
26.4%

Felgueiras
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

23.8%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

23.1%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fafe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fafe's performance.

Felgueiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Felgueiras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fafe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Felgueiras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	35.7%	14.3%

Fafe - Felgueiras Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Fafe will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Felgueiras will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fafe: 23.8% – 76.2%.

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel E. (G) 85. Castro D. 21. Monteiro Ribeiro R. B. F. 57. Richard 20. Folha A. 23. Veiga D. 4. Chicao 27. Monteiro B. 10. Serra Matos P. M. 24. Didi 28. Joel	24. Pinto B. (G) 20. Moura M. (C) 23. Ribeiro Sousa Peixoto R. P. 34. Silva A. 29. Banguera E. 8. Landinho 77. Andrade D. 18. Pereira G. 90. Santos J. 11. Pereira M. 30. Feliz
Substitutes
11. Faria J. 8. Fortunato B. 5. Goncalves N. 33. Joseph S. 9. Kodama R. 22. Pinto Galil L. G. (G) 7. Ribeiro T. 86. Silva A. 2. Sousa B.	22. Bruninho 16. Caio Lopes 27. Ca L. 7. Ktatau 14. Lemos I. M. 26. Rosas P. 1. Sao Bento V. (G) 13. Takahashi K. 2. Ze Diogo

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).

Felgueiras is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fafe won 0.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Fafe won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 9-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Fafe won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Fafe
Portuguese Liga 3
17.12.23	Lusitânia - Fafe	2:3 ✺
10.12.23	Fafe - Sanjoanense	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Varzim - Fafe	0:1 ✺
18.11.23	Vianense - Fafe	0:1 ✺
12.11.23	Fafe - Anadia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 WTWWL
- FC Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 3
16.12.23	Felgueiras - Sanjoanense	3:0 ✺
08.12.23	Anadia - Felgueiras	0:1 ✺
02.12.23	Felgueiras - Canelas	1:0 ✺
10.11.23	Trofense - Felgueiras	2:0 ✺
05.11.23	Felgueiras - Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
16.09.23	Felgueiras - Fafe	1:0
Taça de Portugal
10.09.23	Fafe - Felgueiras	1:2 ET
Portuguese Liga 3
25.02.23	Fafe - Felgueiras	1:1
13.11.22	Felgueiras - Fafe	1:0
23.02.22	Fafe - Felgueiras	0:1
18.09.21	Felgueiras - Fafe	3:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
14.03.21	Fafe - Felgueiras	2:1

Upcoming Matches