Match Info

Taça de Portugal - 1/64-finals

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Conde Dias Garcia (São João da Madeira)


	Sanjoanense		Felgueiras

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.4	1.75
	4.26	3.45	1.84
	15.00	13.34	1.00	Watch
	4.22	3.54	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.9 ↑ (4)	5.93 ↑ (3.4)	1.59 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sanjoanense
15.4%

Draw
17.9%

Felgueiras
66.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

26.4%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sanjoanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sanjoanense's form might have worsened.

Felgueiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Felgueiras's recent form is better than expected.

Sanjoanense - Felgueiras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, Rosas P. ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, Junior M. ⚽,
25', 0 - 3, Moreira V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 4, Jean-Marie M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sanjoanense won 0.

In recent matches, Felgueiras has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Felgueiras is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sanjoanense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 4:22. (average 0.4:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sanjoanense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Sanjoanense
Portuguese Liga 3
13.09.25	Sanjoanense - São João de Ver	2:2 ✺
24.08.25	Amarante - Sanjoanense	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Sanjoanense - Marco 09	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Fafe - Sanjoanense	0:2 ✺
04.05.25	Anadia - Sanjoanense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 TTTWW
- FC Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 2
13.09.25	Felgueiras - Benfica B	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Felgueiras - Lusitânia	3:1 ✺
22.08.25	Chaves - Felgueiras	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Felgueiras - Marítimo	0:1 ✺
10.08.25	Leixões - Felgueiras	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
16.12.23	Felgueiras - Sanjoanense	3:0
03.09.23	Sanjoanense - Felgueiras	0:3
17.12.22	Sanjoanense - Felgueiras	1:2
20.08.22	Felgueiras - Sanjoanense	1:1
12.12.21	Felgueiras - Sanjoanense	2:1
14.08.21	Sanjoanense - Felgueiras	0:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
01.03.20	Sanjoanense - Felgueiras	1:4

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