Match Info

Challenge League - Round 12

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Vittoriosa Stars		Birżebbuġa St. Peters

	1	X	2
	5.35	3.95	1.49	Watch
	4.81	4.08	1.56	Watch
	4.8	3.6	1.57
	5.28	3.8	1.54
	4.33	3.66	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.91 ↓ (6.16)	3.82 ↓ (4.4)	1.55 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vittoriosa Stars
18.3%

Draw
23.6%

Birżebbuġa St. Peters
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.8%

20.8%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.3%

20.1%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vittoriosa Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Birżebbuġa St. Peters has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Birżebbuġa St. Peters might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vittoriosa Stars than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birżebbuġa St. Peters than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Birżebbuġa St. Peters could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vittoriosa Stars - Birżebbuġa St. Peters Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Lapira P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 1 - 1, Bolanos Ramirez J. A. (Own goal),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: )).

Vittoriosa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Birżebbuġa is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Birżebbuġa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Vittoriosa has had a series of away games.

In this match, Birżebbuġa is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Vittoriosa	2	1	1	0	2:0	2	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vittoriosa Stars
Maltese Challenge League
10.01.26	Balzan - Vittoriosa Stars	4:1 ✺
20.12.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - Vittoriosa Stars	0:4 ✺
13.12.25	Vittoriosa Stars - Santa Lucia	0:2 ✺
09.12.25	Gudja United - Vittoriosa Stars	1:0 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
06.12.25	St. Andrews - Vittoriosa Stars	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLLL
- Birżebbuġa St. Peters
Maltese Challenge League
10.01.26	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - St. Andrews	1:0 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
04.01.26	Balzan - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	1:2 penalties ✺
Maltese Challenge League
21.12.25	Melita - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	0:2 ✺
14.12.25	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Marsa	1:0 ✺
11.12.25	Sirens - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWW

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