Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 10

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Arena Condá (Chapecó)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol
Usa	Fanatiz


	Chapecoense		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.75	Watch
	2.58	3.05	2.82	Watch
	2.69	3.25	2.91
	2.68	3.24	2.73	Watch
	2.5	3	2.7
	2.63	3.3	2.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.43)	3.17 ↓ (3.28)	2.8 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chapecoense
36.4%

Draw
29.8%

Vitória Salvador
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

29%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

30.1%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Chapecoense - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Chapecoense will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Vitória will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Vitória (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Vitória (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Vitória (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Vitória (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rafael Santos (G) 26. Everton 33. Bruno Leonardo (C) 3. Eduardo Doma 91. Bruno Pacheco 5. Joao Vitor 27. Camilo Reijers 97. Enio 20. Jean Carlos 77. Italo 11. Bolasie Y.	1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 26. Edenilson 4. Camutanga (C) 25. Caca 13. Ramon 95. Caique Goncalves 88. Ze Vitor 33. Erick 8. Ronald Lopes 12. Tarzia D. 79. Renato Kayzer
Substitutes
98. Anderson (G) 37. Clar W. 19. David Antunes 22. Higor Meritao 4. Joao Paulo 7. Marcinho 2. Marcos Vinicius 18. Neto Pessoa 70. Rubens Ricoldi 25. Victor Caetano 17. Vinicius Balieiro 38. Wermeson	28. Anderson 17. Cantalapiedra A. 22. Gabriel (G) 31. Lopez R. 36. Luan Candido 20. Lucas Silva 10. Matheuzinho 45. Nathan Mendes 11. Osvaldo 62. Pablo 91. Rene 55. Ze Breno
Coaches
Rodrigues C.	Jair Ventura

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Everton ↓, Marcos Vinicius ↑,
37', Edenilson 🟨,
38', Edenilson 🟥,
45', Ronald Lopes 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Renato Kayzer ↓, Rene ↑,
46', Ronald Lopes ↓, Nathan Mendes ↑,
46', Bruno Pacheco ↓, Clar W. ↑,
56', Camutanga ↓, Luan Candido ↑,
64', Tarzia D. ↓, Anderson ↑,
65', Everton 🟨,
67', Italo ↓, Marcinho ↑,
70', Anderson 🟨,
82', Caca 🟨,
83', Joao Vitor ↓, David Antunes ↑,
83', Jean Carlos ↓, Neto Pessoa ↑,
87', 1 - 0, Neto Pessoa ⚽, Marcos Vinicius (A),
89', Ramon 🟨,
89', Marcos Vinicius 🟨,
89', Caique Goncalves ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Matheuzinho (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 1.

Chapecoense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vitória has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vitória may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Chapecoense: Bruno Matias (Knee Injury) Mauricio Garcez (Hamstring Injury) Robert Conceicao (Inactive)

There will not play in Vitória: Baralhas (Yellow Cards) Claudinho (Muscle Injury) Dudu (Back Injury) Edu (Injury) Emmanuel Martinez (Yellow Cards) Jamerson (Inactive) Marinho (Hamstring Injury) Pedro H. (Injury) Ramos R. (Knee Injury) Renato Kayzer (Inactive) Riccieli (Inactive)

There are questionable in Chapecoense: Giovanni Augusto (Injury) Mancha (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Vitória: Fintelman (Hip Injury) Yuri (Inactive)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Vitoria	30	10	6	14	33:44	-11	36
20	Chapecoense-SC	28	3	9	16	29:57	-28	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Serie A
02.04.26	Chapecoense - Atlético Mineiro	0:4 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
28.03.26	Volta Redonda - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
25.03.26	Chapecoense - São Bernardo	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
22.03.26	Internacional RS - Chapecoense	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Chapecoense - Corinthians	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWLT
- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A
01.04.26	Cruzeiro - Vitória Salvador	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
28.03.26	CRB Maceio - Vitória Salvador	2:4 ✺
25.03.26	Vitória Salvador - Botafogo PB	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
22.03.26	Vitória Salvador - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
19.03.26	Grêmio - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
25.11.23	Chapecoense - Vitória Salvador	3:1
24.07.23	Vitória Salvador - Chapecoense	1:0
17.01.21	Vitória Salvador - Chapecoense	0:0
17.10.20	Chapecoense - Vitória Salvador	1:1
Brazilian Serie A
14.10.18	Chapecoense - Vitória Salvador	0:1
06.06.18	Vitória Salvador - Chapecoense	1:0
16.11.17	Chapecoense - Vitória Salvador	2:1

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