Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 9

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Ferreira Y. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Portugal	Canal 11
Usa	Fanatiz


	Cruzeiro		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.9	6.25	Watch
	1.55	3.95	5.9	Watch
	1.53	4.17	7.17
	1.53	4.07	6.83	Watch
	1.5	3.8	6
	1.58	4	6.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.58)	3.98 ↑ (3.93)	6.42 ↑ (6.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro
61.6%

Draw
23.7%

Vitória Salvador
14.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.1%

24.2%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

26.4%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cruzeiro - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Cruzeiro (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cruzeiro will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Matheus Cunha (G) 12. William Furtado 15. Fabricio Bruno 25. Villalba L. 2. Kaua Moraes 8. Matheus Henrique 11. Gerson 99. Arroyo K. 10. Matheus Pereira (C) 88. Christian 19. Kaio Jorge	1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 45. Nathan Mendes 4. Camutanga 25. Caca 13. Ramon 6. Emmanuel Martinez 44. Baralhas (C) 33. Erick 10. Matheuzinho 17. Cantalapiedra A. 31. Lopez R.
Substitutes
9. Bruno Rodrigues 91. Chico 23. Fagner 43. Joao Marcelo 34. Jonathan Jesus 36. Kaua Prates 70. Kenji 16. Lucas Silva 81. Otavio Costa (G) 29. Romero L. 22. Villarreal N. 94. Wanderson	28. Anderson 95. Caique Goncalves 26. Edenilson 23. Fabricio 22. Gabriel (G) 36. Luan Candido 20. Lucas Silva 11. Osvaldo 91. Rene 8. Ronald Lopes 12. Tarzia D. 88. Ze Vitor
Coaches
Artur Jorge	Jair Ventura

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
29', Emmanuel Martinez 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Christian ⚽, Matheus Pereira (A),
36', 2 - 0, Kaua Moraes ⚽, Matheus Cunha (A),
39', 3 - 0, Kaio Jorge ⚽, Christian (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Matheuzinho ↓, Ze Vitor ↑,
50', Lopez R. ↓, Rene ↑,
50', Emmanuel Martinez ↓, Edenilson ↑,
56', Caca 🟨,
64', Baralhas 🟨,
70', Arroyo K. ↓, Wanderson ↑,
75', Kaio Jorge ↓, Chico ↑,
75', William Furtado ↓, Fagner ↑,
75', Cantalapiedra A. ↓, Tarzia D. ↑,
82', Christian ↓, Bruno Rodrigues ↑,
82', Gerson ↓, Romero L. ↑,
82', Ramon ↓, Lucas Silva ↑,
90+2', Matheus Pereira 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Vitória may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cruzeiro is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Cruzeiro: Cassio (Knee Injury) Marquinhos (Knee Injury) Sinisterra L. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Vitória: Claudinho (Muscle Injury) Dudu (Back Injury) Edu (Injury) Fintelman (Hip Injury) Marinho (Hamstring Injury) Ramos R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Kaio Jorge (Foot Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 12 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 36:18. (average 1.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:9. (average 2.4:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Cruzeiro	31	15	6	10	50:46	4	51
13	Vitoria	31	10	7	14	34:45	-11	37

Outrights of Brazilian Serie A for now

Cruzeiro: 0.26%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie A
22.03.26	Cruzeiro - Santos	0:0 ✺
18.03.26	Athletico Paranaense - Cruzeiro	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama	3:3 ✺
11.03.26	Flamengo - Cruzeiro	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
08.03.26	Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLTLW
- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
28.03.26	CRB Maceio - Vitória Salvador	2:4 ✺
25.03.26	Vitória Salvador - Botafogo PB	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
22.03.26	Vitória Salvador - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
19.03.26	Grêmio - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Vitória Salvador - Atlético Mineiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
01.11.25	Cruzeiro - Vitória Salvador	3:1
12.06.25	Vitória Salvador - Cruzeiro	0:0
19.08.24	Vitória Salvador - Cruzeiro	2:2
28.04.24	Cruzeiro - Vitória Salvador	3:1
Brazilian Serie B
14.11.21	Vitória Salvador - Cruzeiro	3:0
11.08.21	Cruzeiro - Vitória Salvador	2:2
11.12.20	Vitória Salvador - Cruzeiro	0:1

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