Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 14

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira (Alcochete)

Referee: Filipe L. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sporting TV


	Sporting Lisbon B		Vizela

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.1	2.7
	2.42	3.2	2.78
	2.6	3.3	2.94
	2.49	3.22	2.84	Watch
	2.45	3	2.75
	2.47	3.15	2.8
	2.42	3.14	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.17)	3.16 ↓ (3.35)	2.81 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon B
37.7%

Draw
29.3%

Vizela
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

27.9%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

27.3%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Lisbon B's form might have worsened.

Vizela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Lisbon B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Sporting Lisbon B - Vizela Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting B (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Vizela (votes: 6 - 54.5%).

Users Predictions: Sporting Lisbon B will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Silva F. (G) 55. Silva J. 45. Moreira D. 49. Romulus 50. Dias R. 96. Justo S. 73. Felicissimo E. 87. Cardoso P. 28. Ribeiro R. 88. Mendonca M. (C) 90. Nel R.	1. Gomis A. (G) 40. Italo Henrique 37. Sampaio J. 55. Hristov A. 20. Godwin O. 5. Moha Moukhliss 22. Busnic A. 7. Loppy D. 24. Morschel H. (C) 17. Tavares M. 9. Manu
Substitutes
67. Anjos L. 77. Besugo R. 58. Goncalves F. 59. Kaua Oliveira 75. Kissanga M. 43. Muniz J. 74. Pires G. (G) 82. Silva G. 95. Taibo Dominguez L.	8. Bastunov A. 26. Beirao R. 23. Fortune Y. 63. Obradovic S. 21. Ramos R. 13. Ribeiro L. (G) 98. Sanogo M. 92. Souza P. (G)
Coaches
Joao Giao	Rocha J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Tavares M. ⚽, Loppy D. (A),
34', Godwin O. 🟨,
39', Moha Moukhliss 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ribeiro R. ↓, Goncalves F. ↑,
47', Cardoso P. 🟨,
58', Goncalves F. 🟨,
59', Romulus ↓, Besugo R. ↑,
65', Manu ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
70', Mendonca M. ↓, Silva G. ↑,
71', Cardoso P. ↓, Anjos L. ↑,
76', Loppy D. ↓, Fortune Y. ↑,
81', Morschel H. 🟨,
81', Morschel H. ↓, Bastunov A. ↑,
81', Tavares M. ↓, Beirao R. ↑,
83', Dias R. 🟨,
84', Ramos R. 🟨,
87', Dias R. ↓, Kaua Oliveira ↑,
90+1', Gomis A. 🟨,
90+3', Fortune Y. 🟨,
90+3', Hristov A. 🟨,
90+3', Nel R. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 5).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Vizela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sporting B has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sporting B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Sporting B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon B
Portuguese Liga 2
06.12.25	Felgueiras - Sporting Lisbon B	0:2 ✺
30.11.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Farense	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Chaves - Sporting Lisbon B	0:0 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
20.11.25	Sunderland U21 - Sporting Lisbon B	1:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
08.11.25	Penafiel - Sporting Lisbon B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWTLT
- FC Vizela
Portuguese Liga 2
08.12.25	Farense - Vizela	2:0 ✺
01.12.25	Vizela - Feirense	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Benfica B - Vizela	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Vizela - Penafiel	1:3 ✺
29.10.25	Lusitânia - Vizela	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
09.02.17	Vizela - Sporting Lisbon B	2:1
29.08.16	Sporting Lisbon B - Vizela	1:2

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