Match Info

FNL - Round 15

Date: 20 October 2025, Monday

Location: Trud Stadium (Ulyanovsk)

Referee: Anopa A. (Rus)


	Volga Ulyanovsk		Ufa

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.21	3.83
	2.18	3.24	3.59	Watch
	2.3	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.38)	3.15 ↓ (3.22)	3.51 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volga Ulyanovsk
43%

Draw
30%

Ufa
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

29.7%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

30.2%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volga Ulyanovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Volga Ulyanovsk - Ufa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ufa will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ufa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Ufa (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Ufa (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Ufa (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
86. Shaykhutdinov V. (G) 4. Ibragimov K. 30. Khabibullin A. (C) 99. Kostin A. 20. Kovalev K. 3. Krasilnichenko O. 7. Murza A. 19. Rudenko V. 29. Shagiakhmetov R. 10. Uridia G. 37. Voronin E.	31. Belenov A. (C) 88. Ageyan M. 96. Baranovsky A. 15. Khabalov A. 11. Minatulaev O. 24. Mrzljak F. 70. Ortiz D. 17. Ozmanov D. 55. Shlyakov E. 79. Troyanov K. 22. Yusupov Z.
Substitutes
90. Folmer K. 17. Gershun I. 77. Gutsa A. 9. Kamenshchikov D. 92. Kasyanov I. 1. Kenyaykin A. (G) 82. Larionov K. 91. Molodtsov A. 28. Novikov D. 87. Pshennikov E. 22. Rakhmanov D. 14. Yakovlev V.	23. Akhatov D. 40. Chernov A. (G) 77. Chimezie W. 10. Gystarov R. 9. Karpuk I. 69. Khanenko I. 48. Lukyanov A. 21. Matskharashvili N. 19. Mayorov E. 7. Perchenok A.
Coaches
Belov M.	Tetradze O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', Khabibullin A. 🟨,
6', 1 - 0, Murza A. ⚽,
18', Mrzljak F. ↓, Gystarov R. ↑,
24', Khabalov A. 🟨,
26', Yusupov Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 2 - 0, Voronin E. ⚽,
53', Ortiz D. ↓, Akhatov D. ↑,
53', Ageyan M. ↓, Chimezie W. ↑,
63', Rudenko V. ↓, Novikov D. ↑,
63', Murza A. ↓, Rakhmanov D. ↑,
64', Uridia G. ↓, Kamenshchikov D. ↑,
71', Ozmanov D. 🟨,
75', Yusupov Z. ↓, Mayorov E. ↑,
75', Ozmanov D. ↓, Matskharashvili N. ↑,
86', Voronin E. ↓, Gershun I. ↑,
86', Shagiakhmetov R. ↓, Yakovlev V. ↑,
88', Kovalev K. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 14).

Volga Ulyanovsk has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ufa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ufa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Volga Ulyanovsk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Volga Ulyanovsk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Volga Ulyanovsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volga Ulyanovsk
Russian FNL
11.10.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:4 ✺
04.10.25	Fakel - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:1 ✺
29.09.25	Spartak Kostroma - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
24.09.25	Kuban-Kholding - Volga Ulyanovsk	3:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
20.09.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLTLL
- FC Ufa
Russian Cup
15.10.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Ufa	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
11.10.25	Sokol Saratov - Ufa	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Ufa - Spartak Kostroma	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Ufa - Chelyabinsk	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
24.09.25	Fankom - Ufa	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
22.10.23	Volga Ulyanovsk - Ufa	0:3
Russian Cup
13.09.23	Volga Ulyanovsk - Ufa	0:1 penalties
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
27.08.23	Ufa - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:1
Russian FNL
12.11.22	Volga Ulyanovsk - Ufa	2:1
23.07.22	Ufa - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:1

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