Match Info

FNL - Round 13

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: BetBoom Arena (Ufa)

Referee: Novikov N. (Rus)


	Ufa		Spartak Kostroma

	1	X	2
	2.94	3.2	2.56
	2.87	3.17	2.47	Watch
	2.95	3.1	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.6)	3.16 ↑ (3.08)	2.44 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ufa
32%

Draw
29.6%

Spartak Kostroma
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

30.9%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

32.6%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Spartak Kostroma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spartak Kostroma's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ufa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spartak Kostroma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ufa - Spartak Kostroma Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Spartak Kostroma (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Belenov A. (C) 17. Ozmanov D. 50. Khomukha I. 5. Kutin D. 7. Perchenok A. 24. Mrzljak F. 88. Ageyan M. 23. Akhatov D. 22. Yusupov Z. 96. Baranovsky A. 70. Ortiz D.	86. Korets N. (G) 5. Zhilmostnykh D. 4. Supranovich N. 2. Tarasov N. 18. Ignatiev M. 35. Enin I. (C) 7. Bokov D. 22. Nemchenko A. 8. Sadov D. 11. Nazarenko E. 99. Gharibyan A.
Substitutes
40. Chernov A. (G) 77. Chimezie W. 10. Gystarov R. 9. Karpuk I. 15. Khabalov A. 69. Khanenko I. 48. Lukyanov A. 21. Matskharashvili N. 19. Mayorov E. 11. Minatulaev O. 79. Troyanov K.	3. Bugriev S. 23. Chikanchi M. 69. Chursin K. 56. Demyanov V. 68. Gaydash M. (G) 17. Kalachev I. 80. Khorin A. A. 78. Kiselev G. 66. Makarenko Y. 85. Puchkov S. 57. Tlekhugov M.
Coaches
Tetradze O.	Bondar S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Ageyan M. 🟨,
35', Sadov D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Nazarenko E. ↓, Chikanchi M. ↑,
69', Perchenok A. 🟨,
69', Akhatov D. ↓, Chimezie W. ↑,
72', Zhilmostnykh D. ↓, Kiselev G. ↑,
72', Gharibyan A. 🟨,
76', Gharibyan A. ↓, Tlekhugov M. ↑,
76', Bokov D. ↓, Chursin K. ↑,
78', 🟨,
82', Enin I. 🟨,
89', Baranovsky A. ↓, Minatulaev O. ↑,
89', Ozmanov D. ↓, Khabalov A. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Ufa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Spartak Kostroma is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ufa
Russian FNL
28.09.25	Ufa - Chelyabinsk	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
24.09.25	Fankom - Ufa	2:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
20.09.25	Arsenal Tula - Ufa	2:2 ✺
15.09.25	Ufa - Ural	2:3 ✺
07.09.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ufa	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLTLL
- Spartak Kostroma
Russian FNL
29.09.25	Spartak Kostroma - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
25.09.25	KAMAZ - Spartak Kostroma	1:0 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
20.09.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Spartak Kostroma	2:4 ✺
13.09.25	Arsenal Tula - Spartak Kostroma	1:2 ✺
08.09.25	Spartak Kostroma - Sokol Saratov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TLWWW

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