Match Info

RUSSIA: Russian Cup - Regions Path - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Tsentralnyi Stadion (Astrakhan)


	Volgar Astrakhan		Astrakhan

	1	X	2
	2.11	3.3	3.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.7)	3.3 ↓ (3.56)	3.32 ↓ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volgar Astrakhan
44%

Draw
28.1%

Astrakhan
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

26.1%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

25.8%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volgar Astrakhan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Volgar Astrakhan's form might have worsened.

Astrakhan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Astrakhan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volgar Astrakhan than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Volgar Astrakhan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astrakhan than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Astrakhan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, Shcherbakov A. ⚽,
88', 1 - 1, Zlobin N. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 1, Lesnikov D. ⚽,

Preview

Volgar is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Astrakhan is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Volgar will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volgar Astrakhan
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
31.08.24	Kuban Krasnodar - Volgar Astrakhan	0:3 ✺
25.08.24	Volgar Astrakhan - Kaluga	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
21.08.24	Volgar Astrakhan - Pobeda Khasavyurt	3:1 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
17.08.24	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Volgar Astrakhan	0:0 ✺
11.08.24	Volgar Astrakhan - Chelyabinsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWTL
- SC Astrakhan
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
31.08.24	Stroitel Kamensk-Shakhtinsky - Astrakhan	0:2 ✺
24.08.24	Astrakhan - Rubin Yalta	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
21.08.24	Astrakhan - Legion Makhachkala	2:1 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
18.08.24	Alania 2 - Astrakhan	2:3 ✺
10.08.24	Astrakhan - Angust Nazran	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWWL

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