Match Info

Date: 4 October 2020, Sunday


	Volna Kovernino		Novosibirsk

	1	X	2
	4.25	3.5	1.7
	4.2	3.35	1.68
	4.5	3.58	1.75
	4.4	3.44	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↑ (2.86)	3.47 ↑ (3.46)	1.72 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volna Kovernino
21%

Draw
26.2%

Novosibirsk
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

26.5%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

18.1%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volna Kovernino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Volna Kovernino's form might have worsened.

Novosibirsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Novosibirsk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volna Kovernino than the current prediction. (+26.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Volna Kovernino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (-24.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Novosibirsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 and 3).

Volna Kovernino in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Novosibirsk is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Volna Kovernino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Novosibirsk will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Volna Kovernino
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
27.09.20	Nosta Novotroitsk - Volna Kovernino	3:3 ✺
20.09.20	Volna Kovernino - Orenburg-2	1:0 ✺
12.09.20	Lada Togliatti - Volna Kovernino	1:2 ✺
06.09.20	Volna Kovernino - Lada Dimitrovgrad	1:0 ✺
29.08.20	Krylya Sovetov 2 - Volna Kovernino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWWWW
- FC Novosibirsk
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
29.09.20	Dynamo Barnaul - Novosibirsk	0:3 ✺
24.09.20	Novosibirsk - KAMAZ	2:2 ✺
21.09.20	Novosibirsk - Zenit Izhevsk	1:1 ✺
10.09.20	Ural 2 - Novosibirsk	1:1 ✺
07.09.20	Chelyabinsk - Novosibirsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WTTTW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Volna Kovernino
Russian Cup
14.10.26	Volna Kovernino - Dinamo Saint Petersburg	✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
10.10.26	Avangard Kursk - Volna Kovernino	✺

Volna Kovernino - Novosibirsk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide