Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 - Round 26

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadium Metallurg (Novotroitsk)


	Nosta Novotroitsk		Volna Kovernino

	1	X	2
	3.72	2.86	2.08
	3.97	3.4	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↓ (3.97)	3.13 ↓ (3.4)	1.95 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nosta Novotroitsk
23.8%

Draw
29.2%

Volna Kovernino
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

26.8%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

25.9%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nosta Novotroitsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Volna Kovernino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nosta Novotroitsk than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volna Kovernino than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Volna Kovernino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nosta Novotroitsk - Volna Kovernino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shalonikov M. (G) 13. Boyko D. 6. Dzhebov A. 7. Dzyon V. 32. Karavalliev R. 30. Khasyanov A. 4. Kononykin A. 31. Pigaev E. 19. Popov I. 25. Razhin Y. 20. Telenkov N.	1. Migunov I. (G) 4. Abramov A. 6. Chibisov S. 91. Chugunov N. 78. Mukhin E. 7. Mutaliev A. 98. Pozdnyakov E. 99. Savitskiy I. 12. Saygushev V. 30. Volkov A. 8. Zabotkin M.
Substitutes
12. Andreev D. 2. Balakhonov A. 26. Batyrshin D. 18. Davydenko A. 24. Medvedev D. 16. Nelyubov N. (G) 5. Pchelintsev I. 33. Sivolapov A. (G) 21. Urazov T.	2. Chechetkin D. 19. Romanov N. 17. Shcherbin R. 81. Smirnov O. (G) 20. Tarasov A. 18. Volkov O. 11. Voronov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Dzhebov A. 🟨,
5', 0 - 1, Volkov A. ⚽,
45', Boyko D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Volkov A. ↓, Chechetkin D. ↑,
46', Khasyanov A. ↓, Andreev D. ↑,
46', Razhin Y. ↓, Balakhonov A. ↑,
59', Kononykin A. ↓, Pchelintsev I. ↑,
63', Volkov O. 🟨,
66', Mukhin E. ↓, Shcherbin R. ↑,
75', Dzyon V. ↓, Urazov T. ↑,
78', Chugunov N. ↓, Voronov D. ↑,
81', Zabotkin M. ↓, Tarasov A. ↑,
81', Pozdnyakov E. ↓, Romanov N. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Nosta has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Volna Kovernino has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Volna Kovernino has had a series of home games.

In this match, Volna Kovernino is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Volna Kovernino will win today's game, with odds of 1.81.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nosta won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Nosta won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nosta Novotroitsk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
12.10.25	Nosta Novotroitsk - KDV Tomsk	1:2 ✺
06.10.25	Orenburg-2 - Nosta Novotroitsk	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Nosta Novotroitsk - Chelyabinsk 2	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Dynamo Barnaul - Nosta Novotroitsk	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Nosta Novotroitsk - Amkar Perm	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Volna Kovernino
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
12.10.25	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Volna Kovernino	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Volna Kovernino - Krylya Sovetov 2	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
25.09.25	Volna Kovernino - Arsenal Tula	0:3 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
21.09.25	Volna Kovernino - Akron Tolyatti 2	4:2 ✺
14.09.25	Volna Kovernino - KDV Tomsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
12.04.25	Volna Kovernino - Nosta Novotroitsk	2:0
28.09.24	Volna Kovernino - Nosta Novotroitsk	2:1
22.06.24	Nosta Novotroitsk - Volna Kovernino	1:1
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
26.04.21	Volna Kovernino - Nosta Novotroitsk	0:3
27.09.20	Nosta Novotroitsk - Volna Kovernino	3:3

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