Match Info

Serie B - Round 1

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Raulino de Oliveira (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: de Almeida Andrade E. R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Disney+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
World	Disney+


	Volta Redonda		Cuiabá

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.2	3	3.25
	2.28	3.05	3.25
	2.34	2.97	3.32	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.3
	2.36	3	3.3	Watch
	2.28	3.05	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.26)	3.04 ↓ (3.3)	3.28 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volta Redonda
40.9%

Draw
30.7%

Cuiabá
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

28.3%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

28.3%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	33.3%	22.2%

Volta Redonda - Cuiabá Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Volta Redonda will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Cuiabá will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Volta Redonda: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Volta Redonda (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jean Drosny (G) 30. Ynaia 5. Bruno Barra (C) 4. Fabricio 6. Sanchez 20. Pierre 8. Robinho 10. PK 27. Mirandinha 29. Hyuri 25. Lucas Tocantins	14. Mateus Pasinato (G) 3. Bruno Alves (C) 7. Pedrinho 8. Max 4. Nathan 22. Derik Lacerda 6. Sander 27. Denilson 99. Lucas Cardoso 98. Matheusinho 30. Lucas Mineiro
Substitutes
1. Avelino (G) 9. Bruno Santos 26. Caceres L. 16. Caio Roque 23. Du Fernandes 3. Gabriel Pinheiro 21. Henrique Silva 13. Jhonny 15. Lucas Adell 18. Marquinhos 17. Vitinho 2. Wellington Silva	97. Andre Luis 1. Arthur (G) 55. Calebe Costa 5. Dudu 13. Guilherme Mariano 77. Jadson 70. Juan Christian 2. Leonardo Ataide 33. Ruan Oliveira
Coaches
Rogerio Correa	Guto Ferreira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Bruno Alves ⚽, Lucas Mineiro (A),
21', Lucas Mineiro 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lucas Mineiro ↓, Calebe Costa ↑,
47', Matheusinho 🟨,
56', Sander 🟨,
62', Lucas Tocantins ↓, Bruno Santos ↑,
62', Hyuri ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
62', Mirandinha ↓, Vitinho ↑,
64', Denilson ↓, Dudu ↑,
71', Dudu 🟨,
72', Sanchez ↓, Caio Roque ↑,
75', Bruno Alves 🟨,
76', PK ↓, Du Fernandes ↑,
77', Pedrinho ↓, Jadson ↑,
77', Lucas Cardoso ↓, Juan Christian ↑,
83', Mateus Pasinato 🟨,
89', Matheusinho ↓, Leonardo Ataide ↑,
90+2', Jadson 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Volta Redonda is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cuiabá is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Volta Redonda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Volta Redonda will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Volta Redonda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Volta Redonda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
09.03.25	Volta Redonda - Fluminense	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Fluminense - Volta Redonda	4:0 ✺
22.02.25	Boavista - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Volta Redonda	1:3 ✺
09.02.25	Volta Redonda - Nova Iguaçu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TLLWT
- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
29.03.25	Cuiabá - Primavera AC	0:2 penalties ✺
22.03.25	Primavera AC - Cuiabá	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Cuiabá - Operário Ltda	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Operário Ltda - Cuiabá	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Cuiabá - Sport Sinop	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
23.06.18	Cuiabá - Volta Redonda	3:0
21.04.18	Volta Redonda - Cuiabá	3:0

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